Global ELO
Global ELO is a single number for how strong a club is, on a scale that means the same thing in every competition. Bayern and a Norwegian champion and an MLS side all sit on the same axis, so you can read them against each other instead of guessing how two leagues compare.
How to read it
The strongest club in each competition, and that competition's midpoint. The gaps between leagues are the point.
| Competition | Strongest club | Global ELO | League midpoint |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | Liverpool | 1,712 | 1,543 |
| Brasileirão Série A | Palmeiras | 1,579 | 1,431 |
| Eredivisie | PSV Eindhoven | 1,549 | 1,322 |
| EFL Championship | Burnley | 1,516 | 1,372 |
| Eliteserien | Bodo/Glimt | 1,496 | 1,255 |
| Liga Profesional Argentina | Boca Juniors | 1,429 | 1,331 |
| J1 League | Kashima Antlers | 1,199 | 1,066 |
| Liga MX | Toluca | 1,111 | 1,003 |
| MLS | Nashville SC | 1,074 | 947 |
Read a few rows against each other and the scale starts doing work: the top of a second tier can sit level with the top of a first tier somewhere else, and a dominant club in a smaller league can outrate most of a bigger one.
What Global ELO is not
- Not a form table. It moves with results, but it is a measure of strength over time, not of who is hot this month.
- Not built from bookmaker odds. No betting line is an input to anything Entenser publishes. That is the whole point of the model, and it is why Global ELO can disagree with the market.
- Not a betting rating. It is not a price, not an edge, and not advice.
- Not a trophy count. History only reaches Global ELO through results the model has actually seen.
How it is built
Every club has a domestic rating earned from its own league's results. Global ELO adds one offset per league, placing that whole league on the shared axis. The offset comes from continental matches — clubs from different leagues actually playing each other — and from promotion and relegation links between tiers.
Where it is weakest
Not every league's placement rests on the same evidence:
- 41 competitions — fitted from continental matches this league actually played.
- 13 competitions — anchored on its confederation's results.
- 9 competitions — an estimate pending more continental evidence.
- 7 competitions — measured against a league it shares promotion with.
- 1 competition — frozen, with no qualifying continental match since 2022.
Comparisons within a league are the most reliable thing here, because they rest on clubs playing each other every week. Comparisons between confederations are the least reliable: they lean on a much smaller pool of intercontinental matches, and they should move as competitions like the Club World Cup add evidence. Treat a 50-point gap across confederations as noise, not a ranking.
Global ELO changes when the evidence does. A recalibration on 2026-08-01 moved several European clubs by dozens of places once ten top divisions that had been missing a coefficient were given one. We publish those corrections rather than quietly restating them.
Check our work
Every forecast Entenser publishes is graded in public afterwards, hits and misses together. Read the methodology and the scoring record, or browse the competitions.