Week of July 19, 2026
Olympiacos’s europa probabilities slide 71.7 points to 28% · updated 2026-07-19
Biggest race movement this week
Rochdale EFL League Two · Promotion41% → 69% (+28.4)
AEK Athens Greek Super League · Europa0% → 28% (+27.5)
PAOK Salonika Greek Super League · Europa0% → 27% (+27.1)
Frosinone Serie A · Relegation12% → 37% (+24.6)
Olympiacos Greek Super League · Title0% → 24% (+24.3)
Olympiacos Greek Super League · Europa100% → 28% (-71.7)
AEK Athens Greek Super League · Title100% → 45% (-54.7)
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Chinese Super League · Relegation69% → 33% (-36.2)
Hull Premier League · Relegation78% → 55% (-23.1)
Viking FK Eliteserien · Title66% → 46% (-20.7)
Closest races right now
MLS MLS CupVancouver Whitecaps FC 23% · chased by Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
Liga Profesional Argentina ChampionRiver Plate 26% · chased by Belgrano (Córdoba), Independiente Rivadavia
USL Championship Best RecordTampa Bay Rowdies 39% · chased by Charleston Battery, Detroit City FC
NWSL ShieldGotham FC 40% · chased by Washington Spirit, San Diego Wave FC
MLS ShieldVancouver Whitecaps FC 44% · chased by Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
Eliteserien ChampionViking FK 46% · chased by Bodo/Glimt, Tromso
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 8 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 6 hit (75.0%). We publish the misses too:
Chengdu Rongcheng 1–1 Chongqing Tonglianglong Chinese Super League · 2026-07-11had Chengdu Rongcheng at 67% · draw
Sarpsborg FK 1–0 Viking FK Eliteserien · 2026-07-12had Viking FK at 61% · home win
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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