Week of July 21, 2026
FC Botosani’s relegation probabilities climb 100.0 points to 100% · updated 2026-07-21
Biggest race movement this week
FC Botosani Liga I (Romania) · Relegation0% → 100% (+100.0)
AEK Athens Greek Super League · Europa0% → 28% (+27.5)
PAOK Salonika Greek Super League · Europa0% → 27% (+27.1)
Rochdale EFL League Two · Promotion41% → 68% (+26.6)
Universitatea Cluj Liga I (Romania) · Relegation0% → 25% (+25.4)
Olympiacos Greek Super League · Europa100% → 28% (-71.7)
AEK Athens Greek Super League · Title100% → 45% (-54.7)
Rosenborg Eliteserien · Relegation30% → 7% (-23.7)
Portland Thorns FC NWSL · Shield25% → 4% (-20.9)
Viking FK Eliteserien · Title66% → 47% (-19.3)
Closest races right now
MLS MLS CupVancouver Whitecaps FC 23% · chased by Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
Liga Profesional Argentina ChampionRiver Plate 26% · chased by Belgrano (Córdoba), Independiente Rivadavia
USL Championship Best RecordTampa Bay Rowdies 39% · chased by Charleston Battery, Detroit City FC
MLS ShieldVancouver Whitecaps FC 44% · chased by Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
NWSL ShieldWashington Spirit 47% · chased by Gotham FC, San Diego Wave FC
Eliteserien ChampionViking FK 47% · chased by Bodo/Glimt, Tromso
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 9 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 6 hit (66.7%). We publish the misses too:
Shanghai Shenhua 0–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Chinese Super League · 2026-07-18had Shanghai Shenhua at 74% · away win
Mjällby AIF 0–0 Västerås SK Allsvenskan · 2026-07-17had Mjällby AIF at 61% · draw
Beijing Guoan 1–1 Liaoning Tieren Chinese Super League · 2026-07-17had Beijing Guoan at 61% · draw
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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