Week of July 23, 2026
FC Botosani’s relegation probabilities climb 100.0 points to 100% · updated 2026-07-23
Biggest race movement this week
FC Botosani Liga I (Romania) · Relegation0% → 100% (+100.0)
Mantova Serie B · Playoffs0% → 36% (+36.3)
Empoli Serie B · Playoffs0% → 36% (+36.1)
Carrarese Serie B · Playoffs0% → 34% (+33.7)
Rochdale EFL League Two · Promotion41% → 70% (+29.4)
Olympiacos Greek Super League · Europa100% → 28% (-71.7)
US Avellino Serie B · Playoffs100% → 31% (-69.1)
Palermo Serie B · Playoffs100% → 38% (-61.7)
Juve Stabia Serie B · Playoffs100% → 42% (-58.0)
AEK Athens Greek Super League · Title100% → 45% (-54.7)
Closest races right now
MLS MLS CupVancouver Whitecaps FC 23% · chased by Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
Liga Profesional Argentina ChampionRiver Plate 26% · chased by Belgrano (Córdoba), Independiente Rivadavia
USL Championship Best RecordTampa Bay Rowdies 40% · chased by Charleston Battery, Orange County SC
MLS ShieldVancouver Whitecaps FC 45% · chased by Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
Eliteserien ChampionViking FK 46% · chased by Bodo/Glimt, Tromso
NWSL ShieldWashington Spirit 47% · chased by Gotham FC, San Diego Wave FC
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 8 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 5 hit (62.5%). We publish the misses too:
Shanghai Shenhua 0–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Chinese Super League · 2026-07-18had Shanghai Shenhua at 74% · away win
Mjällby AIF 0–0 Västerås SK Allsvenskan · 2026-07-17had Mjällby AIF at 61% · draw
Beijing Guoan 1–1 Liaoning Tieren Chinese Super League · 2026-07-17had Beijing Guoan at 61% · draw
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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