Week of July 25, 2026
Csíkszereda’s relegation probabilities climb 100.0 points to 100% · updated 2026-07-25
Biggest race movement this week
Csíkszereda Liga I (Romania) · Relegation0% → 100% (+100.0)
FC Arges Liga I (Romania) · Relegation0% → 100% (+100.0)
UTA Arad Liga I (Romania) · Relegation0% → 100% (+100.0)
Silkeborg IF Superliga · Relegation0% → 41% (+40.9)
Mantova Serie B · Playoffs0% → 36% (+36.3)
FC Voluntari Liga I (Romania) · Relegation100% → 0% (-100.0)
AGF Superliga · Title100% → 24% (-76.2)
Olympiacos Greek Super League · Europa100% → 28% (-71.7)
US Avellino Serie B · Playoffs100% → 31% (-69.1)
Palermo Serie B · Playoffs100% → 38% (-61.7)
Closest races right now
MLS MLS CupVancouver Whitecaps FC 23% · chased by Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
Superliga ChampionFC Midtjylland 26% · chased by AGF, F.C. København
Liga Profesional Argentina ChampionBelgrano (Córdoba) 30% · chased by River Plate, Argentinos Juniors
USL Championship Best RecordTampa Bay Rowdies 41% · chased by Charleston Battery, Orange County SC
Superliga RelegationLyngby Boldklub 42% · chased by Silkeborg IF, Randers FC
MLS ShieldVancouver Whitecaps FC 45% · chased by Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 28 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 20 hit (71.4%). We publish the misses too:
Shanghai Shenhua 0–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Chinese Super League · 2026-07-18had Shanghai Shenhua at 74% · away win
Aurora 2–2 Oriente Petrolero División Profesional · 2026-07-19had Aurora at 69% · draw
Sporting Cristal 0–0 Red Bull Bragantino CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 2026-07-23had Red Bull Bragantino at 69% · draw
Nacional Potosí 1–4 Real Oruro División Profesional · 2026-07-20had Nacional Potosí at 67% · away win
Independiente Petrolero 1–2 Real Potosí División Profesional · 2026-07-21had Independiente Petrolero at 66% · away win
Beijing Guoan 1–1 Liaoning Tieren Chinese Super League · 2026-07-17had Beijing Guoan at 62% · draw
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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