Week of July 26, 2026
Csíkszereda’s relegation probability climbs 100.0 points to 100% · updated 2026-07-26
Biggest race movement this week
Csíkszereda Liga I (Romania) · Relegation0% → 100% (+100.0)
FC Arges Liga I (Romania) · Relegation0% → 100% (+100.0)
UTA Arad Liga I (Romania) · Relegation0% → 100% (+100.0)
Silkeborg IF Superliga · Relegation0% → 41% (+40.9)
St. Louis City SC MLS · Playoffs33% → 72% (+39.0)
FC Voluntari Liga I (Romania) · Relegation100% → 0% (-100.0)
AGF Superliga · Title100% → 20% (-79.7)
Olympiacos Greek Super League · Europa100% → 28% (-71.7)
US Avellino Serie B · Playoffs100% → 31% (-69.1)
Palermo Serie B · Playoffs100% → 38% (-61.7)
Closest races right now
USL League One ChampionOne Knoxville 14% · chased by Union Omaha, Charlotte Independence
Liga MX ChampionToluca 18% · chased by Cruz Azul, Pachuca
MLS MLS CupVancouver Whitecaps FC 19% · chased by Inter Miami CF, Nashville SC
NWSL ChampionWashington Spirit 22% · chased by Gotham FC, San Diego Wave FC
Superliga ChampionFC Midtjylland 28% · chased by AGF, F.C. København
Liga Profesional Argentina ChampionBelgrano (Córdoba) 33% · chased by Argentinos Juniors, River Plate
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 33 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 23 hit (69.7%). We publish the misses too:
Shanghai Shenhua 0–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Chinese Super League · 2026-07-18had Shanghai Shenhua at 74% · away win
Universidad Católica 3–3 La Serena Liga de Primera · 2026-07-26had Universidad Católica at 73% · draw
Sporting Cristal 0–0 Red Bull Bragantino CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 2026-07-23had Red Bull Bragantino at 69% · draw
Nacional Potosí 1–4 Real Oruro División Profesional · 2026-07-20had Nacional Potosí at 68% · away win
Aurora 2–2 Oriente Petrolero División Profesional · 2026-07-19had Aurora at 68% · draw
Independiente Petrolero 1–2 Real Potosí División Profesional · 2026-07-21had Independiente Petrolero at 66% · away win
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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