Week of July 27, 2026
Csíkszereda’s relegation probability climbs 100.0 points to 100% · updated 2026-07-27
Biggest race movement this week
Csíkszereda Liga I (Romania) · Relegation0% → 100% (+100.0)
FC Arges Liga I (Romania) · Relegation0% → 100% (+100.0)
UTA Arad Liga I (Romania) · Relegation0% → 100% (+100.0)
Roda JC Kerkrade Eerste Divisie · Playoffs0% → 47% (+47.1)
Silkeborg IF Superliga · Relegation0% → 45% (+45.4)
FC Voluntari Liga I (Romania) · Relegation100% → 0% (-100.0)
Montpellier Première Ligue · Relegation100% → 2% (-98.4)
Grazer AK Austrian Bundesliga · Relegation100% → 4% (-95.6)
AGF Superliga · Title100% → 18% (-82.2)
Olympiacos Greek Super League · Europa100% → 28% (-71.7)
Closest races right now
USL League One ChampionOne Knoxville 14% · chased by Union Omaha, Charlotte Independence
Liga MX ChampionToluca 18% · chased by Cruz Azul, Tijuana
MLS MLS CupVancouver Whitecaps FC 19% · chased by Inter Miami CF, Nashville SC
NWSL ChampionWashington Spirit 22% · chased by Gotham FC, Utah Royals
Superliga ChampionFC Midtjylland 34% · chased by F.C. København, AGF
Northern Super League ChampionOttawa Rapid FC 36% · chased by AFC Toronto, Montreal Roses FC
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 31 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 21 hit (67.7%). We publish the misses too:
Universidad Católica 3–3 La Serena Liga de Primera · 2026-07-26had Universidad Católica at 72% · draw
Sporting Cristal 0–0 Red Bull Bragantino CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 2026-07-23had Red Bull Bragantino at 69% · draw
Nacional Potosí 1–4 Real Oruro División Profesional · 2026-07-20had Nacional Potosí at 68% · away win
Aurora 2–2 Oriente Petrolero División Profesional · 2026-07-19had Aurora at 67% · draw
Independiente Petrolero 1–2 Real Potosí División Profesional · 2026-07-21had Independiente Petrolero at 67% · away win
Independiente Petrolero 1–2 Oriente Petrolero División Profesional · 2026-07-25had Independiente Petrolero at 65% · away win
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive dashboard →