Week of July 31, 2026
SJK’s relegation probability climbs 100.0 points to 100% · updated 2026-07-31
Biggest race movement this week
SJK Veikkausliiga · Relegation0% → 100% (+100.0)
Sligo Rovers League of Ireland Premier · Relegation0% → 100% (+100.0)
FCSB Liga I (Romania) · Title0% → 100% (+100.0)
Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga · UCL0% → 59% (+58.8)
AFC Wimbledon EFL League One · Relegation0% → 51% (+50.8)
Jaro Veikkausliiga · Relegation100% → 0% (-100.0)
CSU Craiova Liga I (Romania) · Title100% → 0% (-100.0)
FC Arges Liga I (Romania) · Relegation100% → 0% (-100.0)
FC Botosani Liga I (Romania) · Relegation100% → 0% (-100.0)
St Johnstone Scottish Premiership · Relegation53% → 1% (-52.0)
Closest races right now
USL League One ChampionOne Knoxville 14% · chased by Forward Madison FC, Union Omaha
Liga MX ChampionToluca 18% · chased by Cruz Azul, Tijuana
MLS MLS CupVancouver Whitecaps FC 19% · chased by Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
NWSL ChampionWashington Spirit 23% · chased by Gotham FC, Kansas City Current
Liga Profesional Argentina ChampionBelgrano (Córdoba) 32% · chased by Argentinos Juniors, Independiente Rivadavia
Superliga ChampionFC Midtjylland 35% · chased by F.C. København, AGF
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 35 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 21 hit (60.0%). We publish the misses too:
Palmeiras 1–2 Atlético-MG Brasileirão Série A · 2026-07-26had Palmeiras at 74% · away win
Universidad Católica 3–3 La Serena Liga de Primera · 2026-07-26had Universidad Católica at 72% · draw
Aalesund 1–1 Viking FK Eliteserien · 2026-07-26had Viking FK at 69% · draw
Sporting Cristal 0–0 Red Bull Bragantino CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 2026-07-23had Red Bull Bragantino at 69% · draw
Independiente Petrolero 1–2 Oriente Petrolero División Profesional · 2026-07-25had Independiente Petrolero at 65% · away win
Flamengo 1–1 São Paulo Brasileirão Série A · 2026-07-26had Flamengo at 64% · draw
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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