Week of August 23, 2026
Hannover 96’s relegation probability climbs 99.1 points to 100% · updated 2026-08-23
Biggest race movement this week
Hannover 96 2. Bundesliga · Relegation1% → 100% (+99.1)
Woking National League · Relegation1% → 100% (+99.1)
Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga · Relegation2% → 100% (+98.2)
Excelsior Eredivisie · UCL2% → 100% (+98.2)
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 2. Bundesliga · Promotion2% → 100% (+97.8)
Deportivo Maldonado Primera División · Title90% → 0% (-89.5)
Sporting CP Primeira Liga · UCL77% → 0% (-76.6)
PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie · UCL76% → 0% (-75.6)
Fakel Voronezh Russian Premier League · Relegation75% → 0% (-74.6)
Seattle Sounders FC MLS · Playoffs97% → 24% (-73.3)
Closest races right now
Liga MX ChampionToluca 22% · chased by América, Guadalajara
MLS MLS CupVancouver Whitecaps FC 23% · chased by Nashville SC, Los Angeles FC
Northern Super League ChampionAFC Toronto 32% · chased by Ottawa Rapid FC, Montreal Roses FC
USL Super League ChampionLexington SC 33% · chased by Carolina Ascent FC, Sporting Jax
National League ChampionHarrogate 34% · chased by Hornchurch, Sutton United
Vrouwen Eredivisie ChampionFC Twente 35% · chased by PSV Eindhoven, Ajax Amsterdam
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 15 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 12 hit (80.0%). We publish the misses too:
Calgary Wild FC 4–3 Ottawa Rapid FC Northern Super League · 2026-08-15had Ottawa Rapid FC at 76% · home win
Inter Miami CF 1–2 Toronto FC MLS · 2026-08-22had Inter Miami CF at 63% · away win
Independiente Medellín 0–1 Cúcuta Deportivo Categoría Primera A · 2026-08-23had Independiente Medellín at 62% · away win
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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