Week of August 27, 2026
Newport County’s promotion probability climbs 99.4 points to 100% · updated 2026-08-27
Biggest race movement this week
Newport County EFL League Two · Promotion1% → 100% (+99.4)
Queens Park Rangers EFL Championship · Promotion1% → 100% (+98.7)
Eibar LaLiga 2 · Relegation1% → 100% (+98.7)
Plymouth Argyle EFL League One · Relegation2% → 100% (+98.3)
Tenerife LaLiga 2 · Playoffs2% → 100% (+98.0)
Hull Premier League · Relegation95% → 0% (-95.3)
Ceará Brasileirão Série B · Relegation71% → 0% (-71.2)
Rochdale EFL League Two · Promotion70% → 0% (-69.8)
Galatasaray Süper Lig · UCL66% → 0% (-66.4)
Al Diriyah Saudi Pro League · Relegation60% → 1% (-59.8)
Closest races right now
USL League One ChampionUnion Omaha 15% · chased by Charlotte Independence, Forward Madison FC
Liga de Expansión MX ChampionLeones Negros 16% · chased by Tapatío, Club Atlético Morelia
Liga MX ChampionToluca 22% · chased by América, Guadalajara
MLS MLS CupVancouver Whitecaps FC 22% · chased by Nashville SC, Los Angeles FC
NWSL ChampionGotham FC 25% · chased by Washington Spirit, San Diego Wave FC
Superliga ChampionBrøndby IF 29% · chased by FC Midtjylland, FC Nordsjælland
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 51 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 35 hit (68.6%). We publish the misses too:
KuPS 2–4 Mariehamn Veikkausliiga · 2026-08-23had KuPS at 79% · away win
Universidad Católica 1–2 Ñublense Liga de Primera · 2026-08-23had Universidad Católica at 74% · away win
Blooming 1–1 Real Oruro División Profesional · 2026-08-27had Blooming at 74% · draw
Universidad de Chile 1–2 Colo Colo Liga de Primera · 2026-08-23had Universidad de Chile at 71% · away win
Audax Italiano 0–0 Unión La Calera Liga de Primera · 2026-08-22had Audax Italiano at 71% · draw
Real Potosí 0–1 Real Tomayapo División Profesional · 2026-08-26had Real Potosí at 70% · away win
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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