Week of August 31, 2026
Genclerbirligi’s ucl probability climbs 99.3 points to 100% · updated 2026-08-31
Biggest race movement this week
Genclerbirligi Süper Lig · UCL1% → 100% (+99.3)
Levadiakos Greek Super League · Relegation1% → 100% (+99.0)
Plymouth Argyle EFL League One · Relegation2% → 100% (+98.3)
Tranmere Rovers EFL League Two · Playoffs2% → 100% (+98.0)
West Bromwich Albion EFL Championship · Promotion2% → 100% (+97.9)
Hull Premier League · Relegation94% → 0% (-93.6)
Deportivo Maldonado Primera División · Title74% → 3% (-70.9)
Rochdale EFL League Two · Promotion70% → 0% (-70.2)
Metz Ligue 2 · Playoffs67% → 0% (-67.4)
Sutton United National League · Playoffs67% → 0% (-67.2)
Closest races right now
Serie B ChampionEmpoli 12% · chased by Ascoli, Palermo
Liga de Expansión MX ChampionClub Atlético Morelia 14% · chased by Club Atlético La Paz, Leones Negros
USL League One ChampionCharlotte Independence 16% · chased by Forward Madison FC, Union Omaha
MLS MLS CupVancouver Whitecaps FC 23% · chased by Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
NWSL ChampionGotham FC 24% · chased by Washington Spirit, Utah Royals
Liga MX ChampionToluca 26% · chased by América, Guadalajara
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 53 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 35 hit (66.0%). We publish the misses too:
KuPS 2–4 Mariehamn Veikkausliiga · 2026-08-23had KuPS at 79% · away win
Always Ready 2–2 Aurora División Profesional · 2026-08-27had Always Ready at 76% · draw
Universidad Católica 1–2 Ñublense Liga de Primera · 2026-08-23had Universidad Católica at 74% · away win
Blooming 1–1 Real Oruro División Profesional · 2026-08-27had Blooming at 73% · draw
Universidad de Chile 1–2 Colo Colo Liga de Primera · 2026-08-23had Universidad de Chile at 72% · away win
Millonarios 0–0 Internacional de Bogotá Categoría Primera A · 2026-08-30had Millonarios at 71% · draw
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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