Week of September 1, 2026
Levadiakos’s relegation probability climbs 99.0 points to 100% · updated 2026-09-01
Biggest race movement this week
Levadiakos Greek Super League · Relegation1% → 100% (+99.0)
Venezia Serie A · Relegation8% → 99% (+91.7)
Heracles Almelo Eerste Divisie · Promotion1% → 85% (+84.1)
Schalke 04 Bundesliga · Relegation17% → 100% (+82.9)
Suchitepequez Liga Nacional (Guatemala) · Relegation1% → 83% (+82.3)
Hull Premier League · Relegation94% → 0% (-93.6)
Deportivo Maldonado Primera División · Title74% → 4% (-69.9)
Alavés Liga F · Relegation65% → 0% (-64.9)
Kalamata Greek Super League · Relegation63% → 0% (-63.4)
Cerro Primera División · Relegation80% → 19% (-60.6)
Closest races right now
Serie B ChampionEmpoli 12% · chased by Ascoli, Palermo
Liga de Expansión MX ChampionClub Atlético Morelia 14% · chased by Club Atlético La Paz, Leones Negros
USL League One ChampionCharlotte Independence 16% · chased by Forward Madison FC, Union Omaha
NWSL ChampionGotham FC 22% · chased by Washington Spirit, Utah Royals
MLS MLS CupVancouver Whitecaps FC 23% · chased by Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
Liga MX ChampionToluca 26% · chased by América, Guadalajara
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 50 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 33 hit (66.0%). We publish the misses too:
Always Ready 2–2 Aurora División Profesional · 2026-08-27had Always Ready at 76% · draw
Tromso 0–0 Sarpsborg FK Eliteserien · 2026-08-30had Tromso at 76% · draw
Blooming 1–1 Real Oruro División Profesional · 2026-08-27had Blooming at 73% · draw
Millonarios 0–0 Internacional de Bogotá Categoría Primera A · 2026-08-30had Millonarios at 71% · draw
Al Kholood 3–1 Al Ahli Saudi Pro League · 2026-08-29had Al Ahli at 69% · home win
Real Potosí 0–1 Real Tomayapo División Profesional · 2026-08-26had Real Potosí at 69% · away win
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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