Week of September 2, 2026
Levadiakos’s relegation probability climbs 99.0 points to 100% · updated 2026-09-02
Biggest race movement this week
Levadiakos Greek Super League · Relegation1% → 100% (+99.0)
Venezia Serie A · Relegation8% → 99% (+90.7)
Heracles Almelo Eerste Divisie · Promotion1% → 85% (+84.1)
Schalke 04 Bundesliga · Relegation17% → 100% (+82.9)
Frosinone Serie A · UCL2% → 84% (+81.9)
Milford FC Betway Premiership · Relegation97% → 1% (-96.4)
Hull Premier League · Relegation95% → 0% (-95.3)
Alavés Liga F · Relegation66% → 0% (-66.4)
Kalamata Greek Super League · Relegation63% → 0% (-63.4)
Al Diriyah Saudi Pro League · Relegation60% → 0% (-60.5)
Closest races right now
Serie B ChampionEmpoli 12% · chased by Ascoli, Palermo
Liga de Expansión MX ChampionClub Atlético Morelia 14% · chased by Club Atlético La Paz, Leones Negros
USL League One ChampionCharlotte Independence 16% · chased by Forward Madison FC, Union Omaha
NWSL ChampionGotham FC 22% · chased by Washington Spirit, Utah Royals
MLS MLS CupVancouver Whitecaps FC 23% · chased by Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
Liga MX ChampionToluca 26% · chased by América, Guadalajara
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 45 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 29 hit (64.4%). We publish the misses too:
Always Ready 2–2 Aurora División Profesional · 2026-08-27had Always Ready at 76% · draw
Tromso 0–0 Sarpsborg FK Eliteserien · 2026-08-30had Tromso at 76% · draw
Blooming 1–1 Real Oruro División Profesional · 2026-08-27had Blooming at 73% · draw
Millonarios 0–0 Internacional de Bogotá Categoría Primera A · 2026-08-30had Millonarios at 71% · draw
Al Kholood 3–1 Al Ahli Saudi Pro League · 2026-08-29had Al Ahli at 70% · home win
Real Potosí 0–1 Real Tomayapo División Profesional · 2026-08-26had Real Potosí at 69% · away win
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive dashboard →