Week of September 5, 2026
Levadiakos’s relegation probability climbs 99.0 points to 100% · updated 2026-09-05
Biggest race movement this week
Levadiakos Greek Super League · Relegation1% → 100% (+99.0)
Heracles Almelo Eerste Divisie · Promotion1% → 98% (+96.3)
Venezia Serie A · Relegation8% → 99% (+90.6)
Schalke 04 Bundesliga · Relegation17% → 100% (+82.9)
Frosinone Serie A · UCL2% → 83% (+81.0)
Hull Premier League · Relegation95% → 0% (-95.3)
Milford FC Betway Premiership · Relegation97% → 3% (-94.0)
Alavés Liga F · Relegation66% → 0% (-66.4)
Kalamata Greek Super League · Relegation63% → 0% (-63.4)
Al Diriyah Saudi Pro League · Relegation60% → 0% (-60.5)
Closest races right now
Serie B ChampionEmpoli 12% · chased by Ascoli, Palermo
USL League One ChampionCharlotte Independence 16% · chased by Union Omaha, Forward Madison FC
Liga de Expansión MX ChampionClub Atlético La Paz 18% · chased by Club Atlético Morelia, Leones Negros
Ligue 1 TitleParis Saint Germain 19% · chased by Troyes, Monaco
MLS MLS CupVancouver Whitecaps FC 23% · chased by Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
NWSL ChampionGotham FC 23% · chased by Washington Spirit, San Diego Wave FC
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 47 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 34 hit (72.3%). We publish the misses too:
Tromso 0–0 Sarpsborg FK Eliteserien · 2026-08-30had Tromso at 76% · draw
Millonarios 0–0 Internacional de Bogotá Categoría Primera A · 2026-08-30had Millonarios at 71% · draw
Al Kholood 3–1 Al Ahli Saudi Pro League · 2026-08-29had Al Ahli at 69% · home win
Mainz 05 0–0 Paderborn Bundesliga · 2026-08-29had Mainz 05 at 65% · draw
St. Patrick's Athletic 0–2 Waterford League of Ireland Premier · 2026-08-28had St. Patrick's Athletic at 64% · away win
Deportivo Táchira 0–0 Caracas FC Liga FUTVE · 2026-08-30had Deportivo Táchira at 63% · draw
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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