Week of September 6, 2026
Levadiakos’s relegation probability climbs 99.0 points to 100% · updated 2026-09-06
Biggest race movement this week
Levadiakos Greek Super League · Relegation1% → 100% (+99.0)
Heracles Almelo Eerste Divisie · Promotion1% → 98% (+96.2)
Venezia Serie A · Relegation8% → 99% (+90.7)
Schalke 04 Bundesliga · Relegation17% → 100% (+82.9)
Paderborn Bundesliga · Relegation18% → 99% (+81.0)
Hull Premier League · Relegation95% → 0% (-95.3)
Milford FC Betway Premiership · Relegation97% → 3% (-94.0)
Alavés Liga F · Relegation66% → 0% (-66.4)
Kalamata Greek Super League · Relegation63% → 0% (-63.4)
Al Diriyah Saudi Pro League · Relegation60% → 0% (-60.5)
Closest races right now
Serie B ChampionEmpoli 12% · chased by Ascoli, Palermo
USL League One ChampionCharlotte Independence 15% · chased by Forward Madison FC, Union Omaha
Liga de Expansión MX ChampionPiratas 19% · chased by Club Atlético Morelia, Club Atlético La Paz
MLS MLS CupNashville SC 23% · chased by Vancouver Whitecaps FC, Inter Miami CF
NWSL ChampionGotham FC 23% · chased by Washington Spirit, Portland Thorns FC
Liga MX ChampionToluca 25% · chased by América, Guadalajara
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 47 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 31 hit (66.0%). We publish the misses too:
Universitario 2–2 Comerciantes Unidos Liga 1 · 2026-09-06had Universitario at 73% · draw
Lens 0–1 Lorient Ligue 1 · 2026-09-05had Lens at 70% · away win
Millonarios 0–0 Internacional de Bogotá Categoría Primera A · 2026-08-30had Millonarios at 70% · draw
Al Kholood 3–1 Al Ahli Saudi Pro League · 2026-08-29had Al Ahli at 69% · home win
Schalke 04 0–0 Bayern Munich Bundesliga · 2026-09-05had Bayern Munich at 69% · draw
Atlético Junior 3–3 Jaguares de Córdoba Categoría Primera A · 2026-09-06had Atlético Junior at 68% · draw
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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