Week of September 7, 2026
Levadiakos’s relegation probability climbs 99.0 points to 100% · updated 2026-09-07
Biggest race movement this week
Levadiakos Greek Super League · Relegation1% → 100% (+99.0)
Heracles Almelo Eerste Divisie · Promotion1% → 98% (+96.2)
Wigan Athletic EFL League One · Relegation16% → 100% (+83.6)
Norwich City EFL Championship · Relegation17% → 100% (+83.3)
Schalke 04 Bundesliga · Relegation17% → 100% (+82.9)
Hull Premier League · Relegation95% → 0% (-95.3)
Milford FC Betway Premiership · Relegation97% → 3% (-94.1)
Metz Ligue 2 · Playoffs67% → 0% (-67.4)
Sutton United National League · Playoffs67% → 0% (-67.2)
Las Palmas LaLiga 2 · Playoffs67% → 0% (-67.0)
Closest races right now
Serie B ChampionEmpoli 12% · chased by Ascoli, Palermo
USL League One ChampionUnion Omaha 15% · chased by Forward Madison FC, Charlotte Independence
NWSL ChampionGotham FC 19% · chased by Washington Spirit, North Carolina Courage
Liga de Expansión MX ChampionPiratas 19% · chased by Leones Negros, Club Atlético Morelia
MLS MLS CupNashville SC 23% · chased by Vancouver Whitecaps FC, Inter Miami CF
Liga MX ChampionToluca 24% · chased by América, Guadalajara
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 58 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 44 hit (75.9%). We publish the misses too:
Chelsea 1–1 Aston Villa Women's Super League · 2026-09-05had Chelsea at 76% · draw
Universitario 2–2 Comerciantes Unidos Liga 1 · 2026-09-06had Universitario at 74% · draw
Millonarios 0–0 Internacional de Bogotá Categoría Primera A · 2026-08-30had Millonarios at 71% · draw
Real Madrid 0–0 Eibar Liga F · 2026-09-06had Real Madrid at 70% · draw
Atlético Junior 3–3 Jaguares de Córdoba Categoría Primera A · 2026-09-06had Atlético Junior at 70% · draw
Lens 0–1 Lorient Ligue 1 · 2026-09-05had Lens at 69% · away win
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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