Week of September 8, 2026
Levadiakos’s relegation probability climbs 99.0 points to 100% · updated 2026-09-08
Biggest race movement this week
Levadiakos Greek Super League · Relegation1% → 100% (+99.0)
Heracles Almelo Eerste Divisie · Promotion1% → 98% (+96.2)
Schalke 04 Bundesliga · Relegation17% → 100% (+82.9)
Venezia Serie A · Relegation8% → 88% (+79.0)
Paderborn Bundesliga · Relegation18% → 96% (+78.1)
Hull Premier League · Relegation95% → 0% (-95.3)
Milford FC Betway Premiership · Relegation97% → 3% (-94.1)
Alavés Liga F · Relegation66% → 0% (-66.2)
Kalamata Greek Super League · Relegation63% → 0% (-63.4)
Al Diriyah Saudi Pro League · Relegation60% → 0% (-60.5)
Closest races right now
Serie B ChampionEmpoli 12% · chased by Ascoli, Palermo
USL League One ChampionUnion Omaha 15% · chased by Forward Madison FC, Charlotte Independence
NWSL ChampionGotham FC 19% · chased by Washington Spirit, North Carolina Courage
Liga de Expansión MX ChampionPiratas 19% · chased by Leones Negros, Club Atlético Morelia
MLS MLS CupNashville SC 23% · chased by Vancouver Whitecaps FC, Inter Miami CF
Liga MX ChampionToluca 24% · chased by América, Guadalajara
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 51 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 39 hit (76.5%). We publish the misses too:
Al Hilal 0–2 Neom SC Saudi Pro League · 2026-09-07had Al Hilal at 83% · away win
Chelsea 1–1 Aston Villa Women's Super League · 2026-09-05had Chelsea at 76% · draw
Universitario 2–2 Comerciantes Unidos Liga 1 · 2026-09-06had Universitario at 74% · draw
Real Madrid 0–0 Eibar Liga F · 2026-09-06had Real Madrid at 70% · draw
Atlético Junior 3–3 Jaguares de Córdoba Categoría Primera A · 2026-09-06had Atlético Junior at 70% · draw
Lens 0–1 Lorient Ligue 1 · 2026-09-05had Lens at 69% · away win
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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