Week of September 12, 2026
Levadiakos’s relegation probability climbs 99.0 points to 100% · updated 2026-09-12
Biggest race movement this week
Levadiakos Greek Super League · Relegation1% → 100% (+99.0)
Heracles Almelo Eerste Divisie · Promotion1% → 95% (+94.0)
Venezia Serie A · Relegation8% → 94% (+85.2)
Paderborn Bundesliga · Relegation18% → 98% (+80.2)
Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership · Relegation25% → 100% (+75.2)
Hull Premier League · Relegation95% → 0% (-95.3)
Milford FC Betway Premiership · Relegation97% → 3% (-94.4)
Alavés Liga F · Relegation66% → 0% (-66.2)
Kalamata Greek Super League · Relegation63% → 0% (-63.4)
Al Diriyah Saudi Pro League · Relegation60% → 0% (-60.5)
Closest races right now
Serie B ChampionEmpoli 12% · chased by Ascoli, Palermo
USL League One ChampionForward Madison FC 15% · chased by Charlotte Independence, Union Omaha
Liga de Expansión MX ChampionLeones Negros 18% · chased by Club Atlético Morelia, Piratas
MLS MLS CupVancouver Whitecaps FC 21% · chased by Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
Liga MX ChampionToluca 23% · chased by América, Guadalajara
NWSL ChampionGotham FC 25% · chased by Washington Spirit, Portland Thorns FC
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 56 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 36 hit (64.3%). We publish the misses too:
Al Hilal 0–2 Neom SC Saudi Pro League · 2026-09-07had Al Hilal at 82% · away win
Chelsea 1–1 Aston Villa Women's Super League · 2026-09-05had Chelsea at 76% · draw
Xelajú MC 0–0 Cobán Imperial Liga Nacional (Guatemala) · 2026-09-11had Xelajú MC at 73% · draw
Universitario 2–2 Comerciantes Unidos Liga 1 · 2026-09-06had Universitario at 73% · draw
Real Madrid 0–0 Eibar Liga F · 2026-09-06had Real Madrid at 70% · draw
Lens 0–1 Lorient Ligue 1 · 2026-09-05had Lens at 70% · away win
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive dashboard →