Week of September 13, 2026
Levadiakos’s relegation probability climbs 99.0 points to 100% · updated 2026-09-13
Biggest race movement this week
Levadiakos Greek Super League · Relegation1% → 100% (+99.0)
Heracles Almelo Eerste Divisie · Promotion1% → 96% (+94.4)
Venezia Serie A · Relegation8% → 95% (+86.7)
Paderborn Bundesliga · Relegation18% → 100% (+81.7)
Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership · Relegation25% → 100% (+75.2)
Hull Premier League · Relegation95% → 0% (-95.3)
Milford FC Betway Premiership · Relegation97% → 3% (-94.6)
Saint-Malo Première Ligue · Relegation86% → 6% (-79.6)
Deportivo La Guaira Liga FUTVE · Title75% → 6% (-69.6)
Alavés Liga F · Relegation66% → 0% (-66.4)
Closest races right now
Serie B ChampionEmpoli 12% · chased by Ascoli, Palermo
USL League One ChampionCharlotte Independence 15% · chased by Union Omaha, Forward Madison FC
NWSL ChampionGotham FC 19% · chased by Washington Spirit, Utah Royals
Liga de Expansión MX ChampionClub Atlético Morelia 21% · chased by Leones Negros, Piratas
MLS MLS CupVancouver Whitecaps FC 22% · chased by Nashville SC, Inter Miami CF
Liga MX ChampionToluca 25% · chased by Guadalajara, América
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 64 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 43 hit (67.2%). We publish the misses too:
Al Hilal 0–2 Neom SC Saudi Pro League · 2026-09-07had Al Hilal at 83% · away win
Al Khaleej 1–1 Al Nassr Saudi Pro League · 2026-09-12had Al Nassr at 81% · draw
Chelsea 1–1 Aston Villa Women's Super League · 2026-09-05had Chelsea at 76% · draw
Xelajú MC 0–0 Cobán Imperial Liga Nacional (Guatemala) · 2026-09-11had Xelajú MC at 75% · draw
Universitario 2–2 Comerciantes Unidos Liga 1 · 2026-09-06had Universitario at 73% · draw
Real Madrid 0–0 Eibar Liga F · 2026-09-06had Real Madrid at 71% · draw
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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