Week of September 14, 2026
Levadiakos’s relegation probability climbs 99.0 points to 100% · updated 2026-09-14
Biggest race movement this week
Levadiakos Greek Super League · Relegation1% → 100% (+99.0)
Catanzaro Serie B · Relegation1% → 100% (+98.6)
Heracles Almelo Eerste Divisie · Promotion1% → 95% (+93.8)
Ascoli Serie B · Playoffs9% → 100% (+90.8)
Asteras Tripoli Greek Super League · Relegation11% → 100% (+89.3)
Milford FC Betway Premiership · Relegation97% → 0% (-97.4)
Hull Premier League · Relegation95% → 0% (-95.1)
Saint-Malo Première Ligue · Relegation86% → 6% (-79.7)
Deportivo La Guaira Liga FUTVE · Title75% → 5% (-70.3)
Watford EFL Championship · Playoffs67% → 0% (-67.2)
Closest races right now
Serie B ChampionEmpoli 12% · chased by Ascoli, Palermo
USL League One ChampionCharlotte Independence 15% · chased by Union Omaha, Forward Madison FC
NWSL ChampionGotham FC 20% · chased by Washington Spirit, San Diego Wave FC
MLS MLS CupNashville SC 20% · chased by Vancouver Whitecaps FC, Inter Miami CF
Liga de Expansión MX ChampionClub Atlético Morelia 21% · chased by Leones Negros, Piratas
Liga MX ChampionToluca 25% · chased by Guadalajara, América
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 69 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 45 hit (65.2%). We publish the misses too:
Al Hilal 0–2 Neom SC Saudi Pro League · 2026-09-07had Al Hilal at 83% · away win
Arsenal 0–0 Crystal Palace Women's Super League · 2026-09-13had Arsenal at 81% · draw
Al Khaleej 1–1 Al Nassr Saudi Pro League · 2026-09-12had Al Nassr at 80% · draw
Heerenveen 3–1 Ajax Amsterdam Vrouwen Eredivisie · 2026-09-13had Ajax Amsterdam at 75% · home win
Colo Colo 1–1 Deportes Concepcion Liga de Primera · 2026-09-13had Colo Colo at 74% · draw
Universitario 2–2 Comerciantes Unidos Liga 1 · 2026-09-06had Universitario at 73% · draw
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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