Week of September 28, 2026
Milford FC’s relegation probability slides 97.4 points to 0% · updated 2026-09-28
Biggest race movement this week
Heracles Almelo Eerste Divisie · Promotion1% → 96% (+94.5)
Panathinaikos Greek Super League · Title10% → 100% (+90.3)
Palermo Serie B · Title11% → 100% (+88.7)
Preston North End EFL Championship · Relegation16% → 100% (+83.6)
Wigan Athletic EFL League One · Relegation16% → 100% (+83.6)
Milford FC Betway Premiership · Relegation97% → 0% (-97.4)
Hull Premier League · Title97% → 1% (-96.5)
Frosinone Serie A · Relegation87% → 0% (-86.7)
Saint-Malo Première Ligue · Relegation86% → 6% (-79.6)
Deportivo La Coruna La Liga · Relegation77% → 2% (-74.2)
Closest races right now
USL League One ChampionUnion Omaha 15% · chased by Charlotte Independence, Forward Madison FC
MLS MLS CupNashville SC 20% · chased by Vancouver Whitecaps FC, Inter Miami CF
Liga de Expansión MX ChampionClub Atlético Morelia 21% · chased by Leones Negros, Piratas
Liga MX ChampionToluca 22% · chased by América, Guadalajara
NWSL ChampionGotham FC 25% · chased by Washington Spirit, Portland Thorns FC
Ligue 1 TitleParis Saint Germain 36% · chased by Monaco, Lyon
The receipt — how our high-confidence calls did
Of 8 calls where the model was at least 60% on an outcome this week, 5 hit (62.5%). We publish the misses too:
SK Brann 2–1 Bodo/Glimt Eliteserien · 2026-09-20had Bodo/Glimt at 64% · home win
Atletico Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid La Liga · 2026-09-20had Real Madrid at 63% · home win
Frosinone 2–0 Como Serie A · 2026-09-20had Como at 62% · home win
How this works
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive dashboard →