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Melbourne Victory crest

Melbourne Victory forecastpre-season

A-League Men · 2026-27 · updated 2026-07-27

Melbourne Victory are projected to finish 4.1 in A-League Men with 43.3 points. The current model outlook is 15.7% premiers, 81.9% finals. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Current
0 pts
0 matches
Expected finish
#4.1
of 12
Projected points
43.3
2026-27
Global ELO
1305
shared strength scale
Premiers
15.7%
season probability
Finals
81.9%
season probability

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sun Oct 18at Wellington Phoenix FC · Sky Stadium56% W · 21.9% D · 22% L
Sat Oct 24vs Melbourne City FC · Melbourne Rectangular Stadium45.1% W · 26.2% D · 28.7% L
Sun Nov 1vs Central Coast Mariners · Melbourne Rectangular Stadium57.2% W · 21.9% D · 20.9% L
Sun Nov 8at Adelaide United · Hindmarsh Stadium40.7% W · 23.7% D · 35.6% L
Sat Nov 21at Auckland FC · Go Media Stadium29.5% W · 26.2% D · 44.3% L

More clubs in A-League Men

Auckland FCNewcastle JetsSydney FCAdelaide UnitedMelbourne City FCMacarthur FCCentral Coast MarinersPerth GloryWellington Phoenix FCWestern Sydney WanderersBrisbane RoarFull A-League Men forecast
Open the interactive Melbourne Victory dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.