Entenser

A-League Men 2026-27 forecastpre-season

Pre-season projection — schedule out, no matches played yet; probabilities are statistical priors · updated 2026-09-07
Premiers
30.6%
Premiers
27.2%
Premiers
15.8%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjPremiersFinals
1Auckland FC047.330.6%92.3%
2Newcastle Jets046.527.2%90%
3Melbourne Victory043.315.8%82.3%
4Sydney FC040.27.9%71.6%
5Adelaide United039.77.9%68.5%
6Melbourne City FC038.66.1%63.6%
7Macarthur FC033.31.9%38.2%
8Central Coast Mariners030.6<1%26.6%
9Perth Glory030.4<1%25.8%
10Wellington Phoenix FC027.4<1%15%
11Western Sydney Wanderers026.9<1%13.9%
12Brisbane Roar026.4<1%12.2%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Fri Oct 16Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers53.6% W · 27.2% D · 19.3% L
Sat Oct 17Auckland FC vs Melbourne City FC48.8% W · 27.1% D · 24.1% L
Sat Oct 17Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory44% W · 23.6% D · 32.4% L
Sat Oct 17Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets23.2% W · 20.6% D · 56.1% L
Sun Oct 18Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory22% W · 21.9% D · 56% L
Fri Oct 23Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory34.1% W · 27.4% D · 38.4% L
Sat Oct 24Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City FC45.1% W · 26.2% D · 28.7% L
Sat Oct 24Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC61% W · 18.4% D · 20.7% L

Competition rules

Premiers Plate = best regular-season record · top 6 reach the finals series (the championship is decided there, not by the table) · no relegation (closed league)

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

Auckland FCNewcastle JetsMelbourne VictorySydney FCAdelaide UnitedMelbourne City FC

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive A-League Men dashboard →

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