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São Paulo forecastfull forecast

Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · updated 2026-09-11

São Paulo are projected to finish 10.9 in Brasileirão Série A with 48.9 points. The current model outlook is 0% champ, 3.6% continental, 1.8% releg. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

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Current
33 pts
25 matches
Expected finish
#10.9
of 20
Projected points
48.9
2026
Global ELO
1400
cross-league strength
Champ
0%
season probability
Continental
3.6%
season probability
Releg
1.8%
season probability

Global ELO puts São Paulo on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12at Palmeiras · Allianz Parque12.2% W · 24.3% D · 63.5% L
Sun Sep 20vs Internacional · Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo48.6% W · 29.4% D · 22% L
Thu Oct 8at Cruzeiro · Estadio Mineirão21% W · 27.5% D · 51.5% L
Sun Oct 11vs Vitória · Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo51.2% W · 30.6% D · 18.2% L
Sat Oct 17vs Vasco da Gama · Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo53.7% W · 27.1% D · 19.2% L

Recent results

WSat Sep 5vs Atlético-MG2–0
WSun Aug 30vs Red Bull Bragantino2–1
LSun Aug 23at Chapecoense0–1
DSun Aug 16vs Coritiba1–1
LSat Aug 8at Grêmio1–2

More clubs in Brasileirão Série A

FlamengoPalmeirasAthletico-PRFluminenseCruzeiroBahiaAtlético-MGCoritibaRed Bull BragantinoBotafogoSantosCorinthiansFull Brasileirão Série A forecast
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Open the free interactive São Paulo dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.