Brasileirão Série A 2026 forecastlive
53% of the season played · updated 2026-07-28
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Champ | Continental | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 44 | 78.6 | 68.2% | >99% | 0% |
| 2 | Flamengo | 38 | 74.3 | 30.1% | 99.9% | 0% |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 36 | 65.0 | 1.3% | 92.9% | 0% |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 60.4 | <1% | 73.9% | 0% |
| 5 | Botafogo | 29 | 57.0 | 0% | 47.9% | <1% |
| 6 | Red Bull Bragantino | 31 | 56.5 | 0% | 47.2% | <1% |
| 7 | Bahia | 31 | 55.7 | 0% | 39% | <1% |
| 8 | Atlético-MG | 28 | 54.5 | 0% | 28.4% | <1% |
| 9 | Corinthians | 28 | 53.8 | 0% | 25.1% | 1% |
| 10 | São Paulo | 26 | 51.5 | 0% | 14.4% | 3% |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 51.6 | 0% | 14% | 3.4% |
| 12 | Coritiba | 27 | 50.9 | 0% | 11.2% | 3.9% |
| 13 | Vitória | 26 | 47.1 | 0% | 2.6% | 14.8% |
| 14 | Grêmio | 22 | 44.5 | 0% | 1.1% | 28.4% |
| 15 | Mirassol | 20 | 43.9 | 0% | 1% | 34.6% |
| 16 | Santos | 22 | 42.8 | 0% | <1% | 40.1% |
| 17 | Internacional | 21 | 42.2 | 0% | <1% | 44.8% |
| 18 | Remo | 21 | 40.8 | 0% | <1% | 60.3% |
| 19 | Vasco da Gama | 21 | 40.2 | 0% | <1% | 63.8% |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 10 | 22.6 | 0% | 0% | >99% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Champion + next 5 reach Libertadores/Sudamericana (approximate — Brazil actually splits these across several named berths) · bottom 4 relegated to Série B
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive Brasileirão Série A dashboard →