Derby County forecastpre-season

Name: Derby County EFL Championship forecast
Creator: Entenser

EFL Championship · 2026-27 · updated 2026-07-27

Derby County are projected to finish 10.2 in EFL Championship with 68.3 points. The current model outlook is 9.1% auto, 23.8% playoff, 14.8% promoted. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Current

0 pts

0 matches

Expected finish

#10.2

of 24

Projected points

68.3

2026-27

Global ELO

1397

shared strength scale

Auto

9.1%

season probability

Playoff

23.8%

season probability

Promoted

14.8%

season probability

Releg

3.9%

season probability

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Aug 15at Charlton Athletic · The Valley42.4% W · 30.7% D · 26.9% L

Sat Aug 22vs Cardiff · Pride Park47.5% W · 27.7% D · 24.8% L

Sat Aug 29vs Swansea City · Pride Park44.8% W · 27.9% D · 27.3% L

Tue Sep 1at Portsmouth · Fratton Park40.3% W · 28.6% D · 31.1% L

Sat Sep 5at West Ham United · London Stadium23.8% W · 26.7% D · 49.5% L

More clubs in EFL Championship

Southampton West Ham United Lincoln Millwall Middlesbrough Norwich City Sheffield United Wrexham Swansea City Wolverhampton Wanderers Birmingham City Cardiff Full EFL Championship forecast

Open the interactive Derby County dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.