Entenser
Southampton crest

Southampton forecastpre-season

EFL Championship · 2026-27 · updated 2026-07-27

Southampton are projected to finish 4.4 in EFL Championship with 85.3 points. The current model outlook is 44.8% auto, 32.4% playoff, 57.8% promoted. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Current
0 pts
0 matches
Expected finish
#4.4
of 24
Projected points
85.3
2026-27
Global ELO
1512
shared strength scale
Auto
44.8%
season probability
Playoff
32.4%
season probability
Promoted
57.8%
season probability
Releg
<1%
season probability

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sun Aug 16at Watford · Vicarage Road61.7% W · 21.9% D · 16.4% L
Sat Aug 22vs Stoke City · St. Mary's Stadium69.4% W · 19.2% D · 11.3% L
Sat Aug 29vs Millwall · St. Mary's Stadium46.8% W · 26.8% D · 26.4% L
Tue Sep 1at Birmingham City · St. Andrew's Stadium47.1% W · 26.8% D · 26% L
Sat Sep 5at Lincoln · LNER Stadium36.9% W · 26.2% D · 36.9% L

More clubs in EFL Championship

West Ham UnitedLincolnMillwallMiddlesbroughNorwich CityDerby CountySheffield UnitedWrexhamSwansea CityWolverhampton WanderersBirmingham CityCardiffFull EFL Championship forecast
Open the interactive Southampton dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.