Entenser
Toluca crest

Toluca forecastfull forecast

Liga MX · Ap.2026 · updated 2026-09-11

Toluca are projected to finish 2.8 in Liga MX with 33.0 points. The current model outlook is 24.2% champ, 98.1% liguilla. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Track Toluca with Club Watch →

Current
13 pts
6 matches
Expected finish
#2.8
of 18
Projected points
33.0
Ap.2026
Global ELO
1116
cross-league strength
Champ
24.2%
season probability
Liguilla
98.1%
season probability

Global ELO puts Toluca on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12vs Atlas57.6% W · 27% D · 15.4% L
Wed Sep 16at Puebla55.2% W · 27% D · 17.8% L
Mon Sep 21vs Santos71.4% W · 20% D · 8.6% L
Sat Sep 26at Cruz Azul40.5% W · 29.8% D · 29.7% L
Sat Oct 10at Tigres UANL41.5% W · 30.4% D · 28.1% L

Recent results

WMon Aug 31vs FC Juarez4–0
WSat Aug 22at Querétaro2–1
DSat Aug 15at Atlante0–0
WMon Aug 3vs Necaxa3–1
LWed Jul 22vs Pumas UNAM1–2

More clubs in Liga MX

AméricaGuadalajaraTijuanaPumas UNAMQuerétaroCruz AzulAtlasPachucaPueblaMonterreyLeónAtlanteFull Liga MX forecast
Track Toluca with Club Watch →

Open the free interactive Toluca dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.