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Toluca forecastfull forecast

Liga MX · Ap.2026 · updated 2026-10-21

Toluca are projected to finish 3.3 in Liga MX with 31.9 points. The current model outlook is 22.4% champ, 95% liguilla. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Track Toluca with Club Watch →

Current
10 pts
5 matches
Expected finish
#3.3
of 18
Projected points
31.9
Ap.2026
Global ELO
1111
cross-league strength
Champ
22.4%
season probability
Liguilla
95%
season probability

Global ELO puts Toluca on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Thu Oct 22vs Tijuana52.7% W · 27.3% D · 20% L
Sat Oct 24at León48.9% W · 27.8% D · 23.3% L
Sun Nov 1at América30.3% W · 32.1% D · 37.6% L
Sun Nov 8vs Monterrey57.7% W · 23.9% D · 18.3% L
Sat Nov 21at Pachuca42.2% W · 29.6% D · 28.3% L

Recent results

WSat Aug 22at Querétaro2–1
DSat Aug 15at Atlante0–0
WMon Aug 3vs Necaxa3–1
LWed Jul 22vs Pumas UNAM1–2
WSun Jul 19at Guadalajara2–0

More clubs in Liga MX

AméricaGuadalajaraAtlasTijuanaPumas UNAMMonterreyQuerétaroLeónPueblaCruz AzulNecaxaTigres UANLFull Liga MX forecast
Track Toluca with Club Watch →

Open the free interactive Toluca dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.