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Toluca forecastlive

Liga MX · Ap.2026 · updated 2026-07-28

Toluca are projected to finish 4.8 in Liga MX with 29.8 points. The current model outlook is 17.7% champ, 84% liguilla. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Current
3 pts
2 matches
Expected finish
#4.8
of 18
Projected points
29.8
Ap.2026
Global ELO
1371
shared strength scale
Champ
17.7%
season probability
Liguilla
84%
season probability

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Mon Aug 3vs Necaxa60.5% W · 22.4% D · 17.1% L
Sat Aug 15at Atlante50.8% W · 26.1% D · 23.1% L
Sat Aug 22at Querétaro45.8% W · 28.7% D · 25.5% L
Mon Aug 31vs FC Juarez64.1% W · 20.8% D · 15.2% L
Sat Sep 5at Puebla55.8% W · 25.4% D · 18.8% L

Recent results

LWed Jul 22vs Pumas UNAM1–2
WSun Jul 19at Guadalajara2–0

More clubs in Liga MX

Cruz AzulTijuanaAméricaPumas UNAMGuadalajaraPachucaAtlasNecaxaTigres UANLQuerétaroMonterreyAtlético de San LuisFull Liga MX forecast
Open the interactive Toluca dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.