
Toluca forecastfull forecast
Liga MX · Ap.2026 · updated 2026-09-11
Toluca are projected to finish 2.8 in Liga MX with 33.0 points. The current model outlook is 24.2% champ, 98.1% liguilla. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.
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Current
13 pts
6 matches
Expected finish
#2.8
of 18
Projected points
33.0
Ap.2026
Global ELO
1116
cross-league strength
Champ
24.2%
season probability
Liguilla
98.1%
season probability
Global ELO puts Toluca on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Recent results
More clubs in Liga MX
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Track Toluca with Club Watch →Open the free interactive Toluca dashboard →
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.