Entenser

Liga MX Ap.2026 forecastlive

12% of the season played · updated 2026-07-28
Champ
17.7%
Champ
15.8%
Champ
10.1%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjChampLiguilla
1Cruz Azul630.615.8%87.1%
2Toluca329.817.7%84%
3Tijuana628.310.1%77.8%
4Pumas UNAM327.89.8%69.8%
5América427.49.9%70.2%
6Guadalajara327.39.4%67.6%
7Pachuca325.87.2%60.7%
8Atlas625.14.2%55.7%
9Necaxa624.43.2%50%
10Tigres UANL124.55.8%46.8%
11Querétaro322.32.2%33.6%
12Monterrey321.71.8%29.9%
13Atlético de San Luis120.71.2%23.4%
14Atlante118.5<1%12.8%
15Puebla318.4<1%12.2%
16FC Juarez017.7<1%9.6%
17León015.8<1%5.2%
18Santos015.1<1%3.6%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Aug 1Puebla vs Guadalajara22% W · 28% D · 50% L
Sat Aug 1Atlético de San Luis vs Tijuana33.2% W · 28.1% D · 38.8% L
Sat Aug 1FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM28.6% W · 25.7% D · 45.7% L
Sat Aug 1Querétaro vs Tigres UANL30.7% W · 29.4% D · 39.9% L
Sun Aug 2Atlas vs Monterrey41.6% W · 28.1% D · 30.3% L
Sun Aug 2León vs Pachuca26.9% W · 26.2% D · 46.8% L
Sun Aug 2Cruz Azul vs Atlante60.3% W · 22.6% D · 17.1% L
Sun Aug 2América vs Santos61.2% W · 23.2% D · 15.6% L

Competition rules

Top 8 reach the Liguilla, a re-seeded knockout that decides the title — the table decides only seeding · quarter-finals, semi-finals and final are two-legged with the higher seed at home in the second leg; the sim collapses each tie to one match with the higher seed favoured · no relegation (suspended through 2026)

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Liga MX dashboard →

More leagues

MLSCanadian Premier LeagueNWSLUSL ChampionshipLiga de Expansión MXUSL League OneLiga PromericaLiga Nacional (Honduras)Liga Nacional (Guatemala)Primera División (El Salvador)Northern Super LeagueUSL Super LeagueAll 78 leagues