Entenser

Liga MX Ap.2026 forecastfull forecast

29% of the season played · updated 2026-10-21
Champ
22.4%
Champ
20.3%
Champ
14%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjChampLiguilla
1América1332.320.3%95.7%
2Toluca1031.922.4%95%
3Guadalajara1029.214%84.8%
4Atlas1228.27.1%80%
5Tijuana1027.37.1%72%
6Pumas UNAM827.29.5%71.6%
7Monterrey924.54%52%
8Querétaro723.52.4%39%
9León923.01.6%36.9%
10Puebla1022.81.4%34.9%
11Cruz Azul623.13.1%34.4%
12Necaxa722.11.3%28%
13Tigres UANL422.22.6%27.8%
14Atlante521.81.7%24.8%
15Pachuca420.11.2%16.4%
16Atlético de San Luis317.6<1%5.9%
17FC Juarez012.20%<1%
18Santos011.90%<1%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Wed Oct 21Guadalajara vs Necaxa56.4% W · 25.5% D · 18.2% L
Wed Oct 21Tigres UANL vs León53.9% W · 25.3% D · 20.8% L
Wed Oct 21Atlético de San Luis vs Querétaro36.1% W · 31.2% D · 32.7% L
Wed Oct 21FC Juarez vs Atlante29.7% W · 29% D · 41.2% L
Thu Oct 22Santos vs Pumas UNAM21.2% W · 25.8% D · 53% L
Thu Oct 22Toluca vs Tijuana52.7% W · 27.3% D · 20% L
Thu Oct 22Pachuca vs Cruz Azul38.9% W · 28.4% D · 32.7% L
Thu Oct 22Atlas vs América28.1% W · 34.2% D · 37.7% L

Competition rules

Top 8 reach the Liguilla, a re-seeded knockout that decides the title — the table decides only seeding · quarter-finals, semi-finals and final are two-legged with the higher seed at home in the second leg; the sim collapses each tie to one match with the higher seed favoured · no relegation (suspended through 2026)

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

AméricaAtlasTolucaGuadalajaraPueblaTijuana

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Liga MX dashboard →

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