Entenser

Liga MX Ap.2026 forecastfull forecast

39% of the season played · updated 2026-09-11
Champ
24.2%
Champ
20.4%
Champ
17.2%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjChampLiguilla
1América1633.520.4%98.5%
2Toluca1333.024.2%98.1%
3Guadalajara1431.017.2%95%
4Tijuana1329.79.7%91%
5Pumas UNAM1126.78.1%72.5%
6Querétaro1026.24.7%68.1%
7Cruz Azul1225.95.9%64.3%
8Atlas1325.22.9%57.4%
9Pachuca821.81.9%27.7%
10Puebla1021.9<1%26.2%
11Monterrey921.41.3%27%
12León1021.8<1%23.6%
13Atlante720.5<1%15.4%
14Necaxa820.4<1%13.9%
15Tigres UANL620.0<1%12.8%
16Atlético de San Luis619.0<1%8.4%
17Santos110.90%0%
18FC Juarez09.60%0%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12Toluca vs Atlas57.6% W · 27% D · 15.4% L
Sat Sep 12Atlante vs Pachuca33.8% W · 34% D · 32.2% L
Sat Sep 12Necaxa vs Puebla44.1% W · 29.6% D · 26.3% L
Sat Sep 12Tijuana vs Querétaro42.5% W · 31.8% D · 25.6% L
Sun Sep 13Monterrey vs Tigres UANL34.8% W · 28.5% D · 36.7% L
Sun Sep 13Cruz Azul vs América31% W · 32.7% D · 36.4% L
Mon Sep 14Santos vs FC Juarez41% W · 29.7% D · 29.3% L
Mon Sep 14Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM45.4% W · 29.7% D · 24.9% L

Competition rules

Top 8 reach the Liguilla, a re-seeded knockout that decides the title — the table decides only seeding · quarter-finals, semi-finals and final are two-legged with the higher seed at home in the second leg; the sim collapses each tie to one match with the higher seed favoured · no relegation (suspended through 2026)

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

AméricaGuadalajaraTolucaTijuanaAtlasCruz Azul

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Liga MX dashboard →

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