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San Jose Earthquakes forecastfull forecast

MLS · 2026 · updated 2026-09-11

San Jose Earthquakes are projected to finish 6 in the West in MLS with 50.7 points. The current model outlook is 95% playoff, 0% shield, 1.4% mls cup. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

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Current
38 pts
24 matches
Expected finish
#6
of 15 · West
Projected points
50.7
2026
Global ELO
948
cross-league strength
Playoff
95%
season probability
Shield
0%
season probability
MLS Cup
1.4%
season probability

Global ELO puts San Jose Earthquakes on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sun Sep 13vs Houston Dynamo FC · PayPal Park32.4% W · 30.8% D · 36.8% L
Sat Sep 19vs Los Angeles FC · Levi's Stadium29.2% W · 29.2% D · 41.6% L
Sun Sep 27vs Portland Timbers FC · PayPal Park39.5% W · 25.9% D · 34.6% L
Sat Oct 10at Colorado Rapids · Dick's Sporting Goods Park30.8% W · 29.8% D · 39.4% L
Wed Oct 14at Real Salt Lake · America First Field30.9% W · 27.2% D · 41.9% L

Recent results

WThu Sep 10at San Diego FC3–2
DSun Sep 6at Austin FC1–1
DSun Aug 30at Houston Dynamo FC0–0
LSun Aug 23vs Minnesota United FC1–5
LThu Aug 20at LA Galaxy0–1

More clubs in MLS

Nashville SCVancouver Whitecaps FCInter Miami CFHouston Dynamo FCFC DallasLos Angeles FCNew England RevolutionCharlotte FCChicago Fire FCSt. Louis City SCColorado RapidsPortland Timbers FCFull MLS forecast
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How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.