MLS 2026 forecastfull forecast
73% of the season played · updated 2026-09-15
Projected table
East
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Playoff | Shield | MLS Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 54 | 70.4 | >99% | 88.2% | 20.3% |
| 2 | Inter Miami CF | 45 | 60.4 | >99% | 1.9% | 10.7% |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 43 | 56.6 | >99% | <1% | 5.6% |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 40 | 53.4 | 99.7% | 0% | 5% |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 39 | 52.6 | 99.6% | 0% | 4% |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 33 | 47.8 | 92.3% | 0% | 5.1% |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 45.5 | 75.1% | 0% | <1% |
| 8 | New York City FC | 32 | 45.5 | 79.6% | 0% | 2.1% |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 44.9 | 73% | 0% | <1% |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 29 | 40.7 | 28.3% | 0% | <1% |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 40.3 | 21.8% | 0% | <1% |
| 12 | D.C. United | 29 | 40.2 | 26.9% | 0% | <1% |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 34.3 | 2.3% | 0% | 0% |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 23 | 33.7 | 1.3% | 0% | 0% |
| 15 | CF Montréal | 21 | 30.5 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
West
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Playoff | Shield | MLS Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 46 | 62.7 | >99% | 9.2% | 17.7% |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo FC | 43 | 56.8 | >99% | <1% | 5.9% |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 43 | 56.7 | >99% | <1% | 4.7% |
| 4 | St. Louis City SC | 41 | 54.6 | 99.8% | 0% | 5.4% |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 41 | 52.8 | 99.4% | 0% | 2.2% |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 40 | 52.2 | 99.4% | 0% | 6.4% |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 35 | 46.5 | 82% | 0% | 1.1% |
| 8 | Portland Timbers FC | 32 | 44.7 | 65.3% | 0% | <1% |
| 9 | San Diego FC | 30 | 41.8 | 34.8% | 0% | <1% |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 41.7 | 32.6% | 0% | <1% |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 29 | 41.5 | 30.6% | 0% | <1% |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 29 | 41.3 | 26.4% | 0% | <1% |
| 13 | Austin FC | 29 | 40.1 | 16.4% | 0% | <1% |
| 14 | LA Galaxy | 30 | 39.6 | 13.3% | 0% | <1% |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 27.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
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How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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