MLS 2026 forecastlive
50% of the season played · updated 2026-07-28
Projected table
East
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Playoff | Shield | MLS Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 39 | 67.9 | >99% | 42.5% | 16.3% |
| 2 | Inter Miami CF | 37 | 66.8 | >99% | 30.6% | 16.7% |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 29 | 54.0 | 98.6% | <1% | 3.3% |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 51.6 | 95.9% | <1% | 3.2% |
| 5 | New York City FC | 25 | 50.7 | 95% | 0% | 4% |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 25 | 49.1 | 91% | 0% | 2.2% |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 23 | 46.8 | 82.8% | 0% | 1.5% |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 20 | 43.0 | 54.7% | 0% | <1% |
| 9 | D.C. United | 22 | 42.2 | 51.4% | 0% | <1% |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 22 | 41.7 | 45.8% | 0% | <1% |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 41.2 | 46% | 0% | <1% |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union | 13 | 36.3 | 15.2% | 0% | <1% |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 16 | 36.0 | 13.8% | 0% | 0% |
| 14 | CF Montréal | 15 | 34.2 | 7.3% | 0% | 0% |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 12 | 31.1 | 2.4% | 0% | 0% |
West
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Playoff | Shield | MLS Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 33 | 65.0 | >99% | 20.5% | 18.9% |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 60.0 | 99.7% | 3.8% | 14.2% |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 56.9 | 98.3% | 1.6% | 4.6% |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 26 | 52.2 | 91.1% | <1% | 3.9% |
| 5 | Real Salt Lake | 26 | 50.7 | 85.1% | <1% | 2.1% |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo FC | 26 | 50.1 | 80.1% | 0% | 1.4% |
| 7 | St. Louis City SC | 25 | 48.3 | 71.4% | 0% | 1.4% |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders FC | 24 | 47.7 | 66.9% | 0% | <1% |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC | 23 | 45.9 | 52.3% | 0% | <1% |
| 10 | Portland Timbers FC | 21 | 45.8 | 53.2% | 0% | 1% |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 20 | 44.7 | 49.3% | 0% | 1.3% |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 19 | 42.6 | 32.8% | 0% | <1% |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 21 | 40.2 | 16.3% | 0% | <1% |
| 14 | Austin FC | 17 | 35.1 | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 29.8 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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