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Washington Spirit forecastfull forecast

NWSL · 2026 · updated 2026-09-11

Washington Spirit are projected to finish 2 in NWSL with 55.1 points. The current model outlook is 18.2% champ, 41.3% shield, >99% playoffs. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

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Current
43 pts
23 matches
Expected finish
#2
of 16
Projected points
55.1
2026
Global ELO
1316
cross-league strength
Champ
18.2%
season probability
Shield
41.3%
season probability
Playoffs
>99%
season probability

Global ELO puts Washington Spirit on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sun Sep 13vs Boston Legacy FC · Audi Field54.6% W · 25.7% D · 19.6% L
Sun Sep 20at Chicago Stars FC · Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium59.8% W · 25% D · 15.2% L
Sat Sep 26vs Angel City FC · Audi Field41.7% W · 31% D · 27.3% L
Sun Oct 4at Houston Dash · Shell Energy Stadium40.4% W · 30.6% D · 29% L
Sat Oct 17vs Gotham FC · Audi Field35.6% W · 34.4% D · 30% L

Recent results

WSun Sep 6at Portland Thorns FC2–1
WSun Aug 30vs Bay FC1–0
LSun Aug 23vs Orlando Pride0–1
DSun Aug 16at Angel City FC1–1
LSat Aug 8vs North Carolina Courage3–4

More clubs in NWSL

Gotham FCNorth Carolina CouragePortland Thorns FCSan Diego Wave FCUtah RoyalsKansas City CurrentSeattle Reign FCAngel City FCDenver Summit FCOrlando PrideHouston DashBay FCFull NWSL forecast
Track Washington Spirit with Club Watch →

Open the free interactive Washington Spirit dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.