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Melgar forecastfull forecast

Liga 1 · 2026 · updated 2026-09-11

Melgar are projected to finish 4.5 in Liga 1 with 56.3 points. The current model outlook is <1% champ, 98.2% continental, 0% releg. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

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Current
42 pts
25 matches
Expected finish
#4.5
of 18
Projected points
56.3
2026
Global ELO
989
cross-league strength
Champ
<1%
season probability
Continental
98.2%
season probability
Releg
0%
season probability

Global ELO puts Melgar on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12at Cusco FC · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega30.5% W · 26.4% D · 43.1% L
Sun Sep 20vs Sport Boys · Estadio Monumental de la UNSA52% W · 27.7% D · 20.2% L
Sun Oct 11at Universitario · Estadio Monumental de Lima25.2% W · 26.9% D · 47.9% L
Sat Oct 17vs Deportivo Garcilaso · Estadio Monumental de la UNSA43.2% W · 29.3% D · 27.5% L
Sat Oct 24at UTC · Estadio Germán Contreras50% W · 25.3% D · 24.7% L

Recent results

WSun Sep 6vs ADT3–0
LTue Sep 1at Atlético Grau0–1
DSun Aug 23vs Alianza Lima1–1
WSat Aug 15at Los Chankas3–0
LSun Aug 9vs FC Cajamarca2–4

More clubs in Liga 1

Alianza LimaUniversitarioDeportivo GarcilasoCusco FCCienciano del CuscoLos ChankasAlianza AtléticoSporting CristalSport BoysComerciantes UnidosAtlético GrauSport HuancayoFull Liga 1 forecast
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Open the free interactive Melgar dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.