Serie A 2026-27 forecastpre-season
Pre-season projection — schedule out, no matches played yet; probabilities are statistical priors · updated 2026-07-27
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Title | UCL | Europa | Conf | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 0 | 77.2 | 39.4% | 90.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0% |
| 2 | Como | 0 | 73.1 | 22.6% | 82.3% | 6.5% | 4% | 0% |
| 3 | Roma | 0 | 70.0 | 14.1% | 73.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 0% |
| 4 | Juventus | 0 | 67.2 | 9.3% | 63.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | <1% |
| 5 | Atalanta | 0 | 64.4 | 5.5% | 51.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | <1% |
| 6 | Napoli | 0 | 63.3 | 4.6% | 47.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | <1% |
| 7 | AC Milan | 0 | 61.1 | 3% | 38% | 12.3% | 10.8% | <1% |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 0 | 51.7 | <1% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| 9 | Bologna | 0 | 50.9 | <1% | 10% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| 10 | Udinese | 0 | 50.4 | <1% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| 11 | Venezia | 0 | 48.0 | <1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 10.1% |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 0 | 46.7 | <1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 12.1% |
| 13 | Lazio | 0 | 46.1 | <1% | 4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 12.7% |
| 14 | Genoa | 0 | 45.2 | 0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4% | 15.2% |
| 15 | Frosinone | 0 | 42.2 | 0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 22.9% |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 0 | 40.4 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 1.7% | 28.4% |
| 17 | Cagliari | 0 | 39.3 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 1.4% | 33.6% |
| 18 | Torino | 0 | 37.7 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 1.1% | 39.9% |
| 19 | Monza | 0 | 37.5 | 0% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 40.3% |
| 20 | Lecce | 0 | 31.6 | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% | 66.2% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Top 5 qualify for the Champions League (2025-26 coefficient allocation) · bottom 3 relegated
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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