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Serie B 2026-27 forecastpre-season

Pre-season projection — schedule out, no matches played yet; probabilities are statistical priors · updated 2026-07-27 · also known as Serie B
Auto
54.3%
Auto
30.1%
Auto
26.8%
Relegation
38.5%
Relegation
38.2%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjAutoPlayoffPromotedReleg
1Palermo071.954.3%38.3%68.7%<1%
2Benevento064.930.1%49.7%44.3%<1%
3Catanzaro063.626.8%49.5%38.5%1.4%
4Cremonese062.322.6%51%34.6%1.7%
5Modena059.215.5%48.6%25.1%2.6%
6Juve Stabia055.49.5%42%16%5.3%
7Mantova052.86.6%36.3%11.2%8.3%
8Empoli052.45.9%36.1%10%8.6%
9Carrarese051.65.2%33.7%9.2%9.6%
10Pisa050.84.8%31%8.1%10.8%
11US Avellino050.34.2%30.9%7.6%11.3%
12Padova049.53.6%28.3%6.6%12.6%
13Sampdoria047.32.2%23%4.3%16.3%
14Virtus Entella047.22.5%22.8%4.5%16.9%
15Sudtirol046.12%20.7%3.6%20.1%
16Cesena046.02.1%20.9%3.7%20.5%
17Arezzo039.9<1%9.3%1%38.2%
18Vicenza039.9<1%9.8%1.1%38.1%
19Hellas Verona039.8<1%9%<1%38.1%
20Ascoli039.7<1%9.1%<1%38.5%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Aug 22Benevento vs Modena48.4% W · 30.4% D · 21.2% L
Sat Aug 22Carrarese vs Mantova45.2% W · 28.2% D · 26.5% L
Sat Aug 22Cesena vs Sampdoria40.6% W · 33.5% D · 25.9% L
Sat Aug 22Empoli vs Cremonese35.4% W · 30.8% D · 33.8% L
Sat Aug 22Hellas Verona vs Ascoli42.7% W · 32.5% D · 24.8% L
Sat Aug 22Palermo vs Juve Stabia58.8% W · 26.9% D · 14.3% L
Sat Aug 22Pisa vs Padova44.2% W · 31.9% D · 23.9% L
Sat Aug 22Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella40.8% W · 33.8% D · 25.4% L

Competition rules

Top 2 promoted automatically · 3–8 promotion playoff (3rd–4th get byes), winner also promoted · bottom 3 relegated

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Serie B dashboard →

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