Première Ligue 2026-27 forecastpre-season
Pre-season projection — schedule out, no matches played yet; probabilities are statistical priors · updated 2026-07-27
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Champ | Continental | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OL Lyonnes | 0 | 61.6 | 96.4% | 99.7% | 0% |
| 2 | Paris Saint-Germain | 0 | 48.0 | 2% | 48.2% | 0% |
| 3 | Paris FC | 0 | 47.9 | 1.6% | 47% | 0% |
| 4 | Nantes | 0 | 36.1 | 0% | 2.5% | <1% |
| 5 | FC Fleury 91 | 0 | 35.5 | 0% | 2.2% | <1% |
| 6 | Montpellier | 0 | 28.2 | 0% | <1% | 1.6% |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 0 | 26.1 | 0% | <1% | 3.1% |
| 8 | Le Havre AC | 0 | 25.1 | 0% | 0% | 4.3% |
| 9 | Marseille | 0 | 24.9 | 0% | <1% | 4.5% |
| 10 | Lens | 0 | 20.3 | 0% | 0% | 15.1% |
| 11 | Saint-Malo | 0 | 10.5 | 0% | 0% | 85.5% |
| 12 | Toulouse | 0 | 10.4 | 0% | 0% | 85.8% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
22-round double round-robin · top 2 qualify for the UEFA Women's Champions League · the top 4 then contest a title playoff the sim does not play (the table shown is the regular season) · bottom 2 relegated · goals-only (no xG source for this league)
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive Première Ligue dashboard →