Entenser

Première Ligue 2026-27 forecastpre-season

Pre-season projection — schedule out, no matches played yet; probabilities are statistical priors · updated 2026-07-27
Champ
96.4%
Champ
1.6%
Relegation
85.8%
Relegation
85.5%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjChampContinentalReleg
1OL Lyonnes061.696.4%99.7%0%
2Paris Saint-Germain048.02%48.2%0%
3Paris FC047.91.6%47%0%
4Nantes036.10%2.5%<1%
5FC Fleury 91035.50%2.2%<1%
6Montpellier028.20%<1%1.6%
7Strasbourg026.10%<1%3.1%
8Le Havre AC025.10%0%4.3%
9Marseille024.90%<1%4.5%
10Lens020.30%0%15.1%
11Saint-Malo010.50%0%85.5%
12Toulouse010.40%0%85.8%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Fri Sep 4FC Fleury 91 vs OL Lyonnes4.2% W · 12.9% D · 82.9% L
Sat Sep 5Strasbourg vs Saint-Malo71.8% W · 16.7% D · 11.6% L
Sat Sep 5Lens vs Paris Saint-Germain5.6% W · 12.3% D · 82% L
Sat Sep 5Marseille vs Le Havre AC40.3% W · 23.8% D · 35.9% L
Sat Sep 5Montpellier vs Toulouse76.4% W · 14.2% D · 9.4% L
Sat Sep 5Paris FC vs Nantes66.4% W · 17.8% D · 15.7% L
Sat Sep 12Saint-Malo vs Montpellier11.5% W · 15.9% D · 72.5% L
Sat Sep 12Toulouse vs Le Havre AC14.7% W · 17.7% D · 67.6% L

Competition rules

22-round double round-robin · top 2 qualify for the UEFA Women's Champions League · the top 4 then contest a title playoff the sim does not play (the table shown is the regular season) · bottom 2 relegated · goals-only (no xG source for this league)

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Première Ligue dashboard →

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