Entenser

Ligue 1 2026 forecastfull forecast

21% of the season played · updated 2026-10-21
Title
14.4%
Title
8.9%
Relegation
98.6%
Relegation
70.4%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjTitleUCLEuropaConfReleg
1Paris Saint Germain1469.457.7%93.3%3.1%1.6%0%
2Lyon1461.114.4%64.6%10.2%8.2%0%
3Monaco1459.78.9%54.5%11.6%10.2%0%
4Lille1457.05.3%41.1%12.1%10.9%0%
5Paris FC1456.44.7%38.1%12.3%11.2%<1%
6Lens1055.73.5%33.1%11.6%11.4%<1%
7Rennes1355.33.1%29.6%11.4%11.1%<1%
8Marseille952.31.3%19%9.3%10.4%<1%
9Toulouse949.2<1%9.5%5.9%7.4%<1%
10Lorient1148.6<1%8%5%6.9%1%
11Strasbourg745.8<1%4.2%3%4.4%3%
12Brest944.8<1%3.5%3%3.9%2.9%
13Auxerre940.60%<1%<1%1.3%10.4%
14Nice837.30%<1%<1%<1%18.4%
15Le Mans636.30%<1%<1%<1%23.7%
16Angers729.00%0%0%0%70%
17Le Havre228.60%0%0%0%70.4%
18Troyes418.20%0%0%0%98.6%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Fri Oct 23Brest vs Nice50.7% W · 26.2% D · 23.1% L
Sat Oct 24Toulouse vs Troyes78.5% W · 14.5% D · 7% L
Sat Oct 24Lens vs Paris FC46.1% W · 25.3% D · 28.6% L
Sun Oct 25Monaco vs Lille38% W · 30.9% D · 31.1% L
Sun Oct 25Angers vs Lorient22.5% W · 28.8% D · 48.7% L
Sun Oct 25Auxerre vs Le Mans47.8% W · 23.1% D · 29.1% L
Sun Oct 25Marseille vs Le Havre62.9% W · 22.4% D · 14.7% L
Sun Oct 25Rennes vs Strasbourg51.7% W · 20.2% D · 28.1% L

Competition rules

Top 4 qualify for the Champions League · bottom 2 relegated, 16th plays a barrage vs the Ligue 2 playoff winner

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

LyonParis Saint GermainLilleParis FCMonacoRennes

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Ligue 1 dashboard →

More leagues

Ligue 2Première LigueAll 78 leagues