Entenser

Ligue 1 2026 forecastfull forecast

9% of the season played · updated 2026-09-11
Title
20.9%
Title
17.3%
Relegation
57.9%
Relegation
45%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjTitleUCLEuropaConfReleg
1Paris Saint Germain263.725.8%72%8.7%6.7%0%
2Monaco961.420.9%63.9%9.9%8%<1%
3Lille760.717.3%60.7%10.4%8.7%0%
4Lyon756.38.4%40.6%11.2%10.8%<1%
5Paris FC755.47.2%36.6%11.3%10.9%<1%
6Lens355.66.4%35.3%11%11.1%<1%
7Rennes755.46.6%35%11%11%<1%
8Strasbourg653.34.1%25.9%9.9%10.6%<1%
9Marseille351.62.6%19.9%8.8%10.1%1%
10Lorient445.5<1%5.9%4%5.5%4.4%
11Brest540.5<1%2%1.6%2.5%12.5%
12Toulouse138.5<1%1%<1%1.6%21.1%
13Le Mans235.30%<1%<1%<1%31.8%
14Le Havre133.90%<1%<1%<1%38.5%
15Angers333.10%<1%<1%<1%41.7%
16Auxerre033.20%<1%<1%<1%45%
17Troyes433.10%<1%<1%<1%44.4%
18Nice230.40%0%0%<1%57.9%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Fri Sep 11Rennes vs Marseille41.9% W · 25.5% D · 32.6% L
Sat Sep 12Strasbourg vs Monaco35.7% W · 24.6% D · 39.7% L
Sat Sep 12Auxerre vs Nice43.9% W · 30.2% D · 25.9% L
Sat Sep 12Lorient vs Toulouse41.6% W · 32.5% D · 25.9% L
Sat Sep 12Paris FC vs Lyon38.3% W · 29.3% D · 32.4% L
Sat Sep 12Le Havre vs Angers37.8% W · 35.7% D · 26.5% L
Sun Sep 13Lille vs Troyes69.7% W · 19.4% D · 10.9% L
Sun Sep 13Le Mans vs Lens21.1% W · 21.7% D · 57.2% L

Competition rules

Top 4 qualify for the Champions League · bottom 2 relegated, 16th plays a barrage vs the Ligue 2 playoff winner

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

MonacoLyonParis FCLilleRennesStrasbourg

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Ligue 1 dashboard →

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