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Ligue 2 2026-27 forecastpre-season

Pre-season projection — schedule out, no matches played yet; probabilities are statistical priors · updated 2026-07-27 · also known as Ligue 2
Auto
24.7%
Relegation
59%
Relegation
58.8%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjAutoPlayoffPromotedReleg
1Saint-Étienne061.439%30.9%43.7%1.2%
2Stade de Reims059.933.8%32.2%38.2%1.6%
3Rodez Aveyron057.124.7%31%28.6%2.6%
4Montpellier056.823.4%31.9%27.5%2.7%
5Annecy056.624%30.7%27.8%3.1%
6Red Star FC 93052.413.8%25.7%16.4%6.7%
7Nantes050.410.8%22.2%12.9%9.3%
8Dunkerque050.010.7%21.9%12.7%10%
9Grenoble045.64.4%14.6%5.6%16.5%
10Clermont Foot043.93.8%12.3%4.6%21.3%
11Guingamp043.13.3%10.9%4%23.4%
12Metz040.42.1%7.5%2.6%31.5%
13Stade Laval039.01.4%5.9%1.8%36.3%
14Boulogne038.61.2%6.2%1.6%37.7%
15AS Nancy Lorraine038.61.5%6.1%1.8%38%
16Pau037.91.4%5.7%1.7%40.3%
17Dijon FCO033.0<1%2%<1%59%
18Sochaux033.0<1%2.2%<1%58.8%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Aug 8Boulogne vs AS Nancy Lorraine38.7% W · 28.1% D · 33.2% L
Sat Aug 8Clermont Foot vs Stade de Reims23.9% W · 28.3% D · 47.8% L
Sat Aug 8Dunkerque vs Grenoble41.7% W · 29.5% D · 28.8% L
Sat Aug 8Metz vs Guingamp35.6% W · 29.6% D · 34.8% L
Sat Aug 8Montpellier vs Dijon FCO62% W · 25.3% D · 12.7% L
Sat Aug 8Nantes vs Red Star FC 9337.4% W · 28.4% D · 34.2% L
Sat Aug 8Pau vs Annecy22.2% W · 20.9% D · 56.9% L
Sat Aug 8Rodez Aveyron vs Stade Laval57.1% W · 25.8% D · 17.1% L

Competition rules

Top 2 promoted automatically · 3–5 playoff, winner faces the Ligue 1 barrage (modeled at 33%) · bottom 4 relegated

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Ligue 2 dashboard →

More leagues

Ligue 1Première LigueAll 78 leagues