La Liga 2026 forecastfull forecast
23% of the season played · updated 2026-10-21
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Title | UCL | Europa | Conf | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 27 | 97.9 | 95% | >99% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 21 | 82.0 | 4.1% | 99.1% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 22 | 76.4 | <1% | 94.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0% |
| 4 | Real Betis | 19 | 67.5 | 0% | 65.9% | 17.1% | 7.7% | 0% |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 57.9 | 0% | 13.5% | 20.9% | 16.2% | <1% |
| 6 | Villarreal | 9 | 55.4 | 0% | 7.8% | 15.2% | 15.5% | <1% |
| 7 | Sevilla | 14 | 54.1 | 0% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 13.1% | <1% |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 52.0 | 0% | 4.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 1.6% |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 50.7 | 0% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 1.7% |
| 10 | Alaves | 11 | 49.1 | 0% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 49.2 | 0% | 2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| 12 | Deportivo La Coruna | 11 | 46.4 | 0% | <1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% |
| 13 | Levante | 7 | 45.3 | 0% | <1% | 1.6% | 3% | 8.9% |
| 14 | Elche | 7 | 44.8 | 0% | <1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 10% |
| 15 | Espanyol | 8 | 42.0 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 1.3% | 16.6% |
| 16 | Osasuna | 11 | 41.1 | 0% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21.2% |
| 17 | Getafe | 9 | 39.4 | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% | 27.1% |
| 18 | Valencia | 6 | 39.3 | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% | 30.9% |
| 19 | Racing Santander | 8 | 32.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 69.9% |
| 20 | Malaga | 4 | 21.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 98.5% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Top 4 qualify for the Champions League · bottom 3 relegated
Follow a club through the season
Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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