La Liga 2026-27 forecastpre-season
Pre-season projection — schedule out, no matches played yet; probabilities are statistical priors · updated 2026-07-27
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Title | UCL | Europa | Conf | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 0 | 84.2 | 58.7% | 97.3% | 1.4% | <1% | 0% |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 0 | 79.2 | 30.2% | 91.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0% |
| 3 | Villarreal | 0 | 67.6 | 5.1% | 55.6% | 12.5% | 9% | <1% |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 0 | 63.9 | 2.6% | 41% | 13.2% | 10.5% | <1% |
| 5 | Real Betis | 0 | 60.1 | 1.1% | 26.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | <1% |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 58.4 | <1% | 21.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 1.1% |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 58.3 | <1% | 21.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 1.1% |
| 8 | Valencia | 0 | 52.3 | <1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 51.0 | <1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6% | 5.4% |
| 10 | Levante | 0 | 49.7 | 0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% |
| 11 | Sevilla | 0 | 49.2 | <1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5% | 7% |
| 12 | Osasuna | 0 | 48.8 | <1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.9% |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 0 | 48.7 | <1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% |
| 14 | Elche | 0 | 48.2 | <1% | 4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 8.7% |
| 15 | Getafe | 0 | 47.3 | 0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 9.2% |
| 16 | Alaves | 0 | 46.6 | 0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 11.4% |
| 17 | Espanyol | 0 | 46.2 | 0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 12.1% |
| 18 | Málaga | 0 | 30.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | <1% | 71.7% |
| 19 | Racing Santander | 0 | 30.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | <1% | 72.3% |
| 20 | Deportivo La Coruña | 0 | 30.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | <1% | 72.3% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Top 4 qualify for the Champions League · bottom 3 relegated
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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