Real Madrid forecastfull forecast

Name: Real Madrid La Liga forecast
Creator: Entenser

La Liga · 2026 · updated 2026-09-11

Real Madrid are projected to finish 2.2 in La Liga with 80.0 points. The current model outlook is 8.8% title, 96.8% ucl, 1.7% europa. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Track Real Madrid with Club Watch →

Current

9 pts

4 matches

Expected finish

#2.2

of 20

Projected points

80.0

2026

Global ELO

1707

cross-league strength

Title

8.8%

season probability

UCL

96.8%

season probability

Europa

1.7%

season probability

Conf

<1%

season probability

Releg

season probability

Global ELO puts Real Madrid on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sun Sep 13vs Rayo Vallecano74.4% W · 16.3% D · 9.3% L

Wed Sep 16at Elche64.1% W · 19.5% D · 16.3% L

Sun Sep 20at Atletico Madrid47% W · 23.7% D · 29.3% L

Sun Oct 11vs Villarreal68.7% W · 17.5% D · 13.8% L

Sun Oct 18vs Sevilla78.7% W · 13.7% D · 7.5% L

Recent results

LFri Sep 4at Real Betis0–1

WSun Aug 30vs Malaga4–0

WWed Aug 26vs Real Sociedad4–1

WSat Aug 22at Espanyol2–1

More clubs in La Liga

Barcelona Real Betis Alaves Deportivo La Coruna Atletico Madrid Villarreal Athletic Club Real Sociedad Sevilla Rayo Vallecano Osasuna Levante Full La Liga forecast

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Open the free interactive Real Madrid dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.