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Atletico Madrid crest

Atletico Madrid forecastfull forecast

La Liga · 2026 · updated 2026-10-21

Atletico Madrid are projected to finish 3 in La Liga with 76.4 points. The current model outlook is <1% title, 94.7% ucl, 3.5% europa. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Track Atletico Madrid with Club Watch →

Current
22 pts
9 matches
Expected finish
#3
of 20
Projected points
76.4
2026
Global ELO
1637
cross-league strength
Title
<1%
season probability
UCL
94.7%
season probability
Europa
3.5%
season probability
Conf
1.1%
season probability
Releg
0%
season probability

Global ELO puts Atletico Madrid on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Oct 24vs Deportivo La Coruna67.5% W · 20.4% D · 12% L
Sat Oct 31at Levante50.3% W · 24.6% D · 25.1% L
Sun Nov 8vs Barcelona27.8% W · 23.1% D · 49.2% L
Sun Nov 22at Getafe46.3% W · 35.1% D · 18.6% L
Sun Nov 29at Elche49.1% W · 26.2% D · 24.7% L

Recent results

WSat Oct 17at Espanyol1–0
WSat Oct 10at Alaves2–1
WSun Sep 20vs Real Madrid2–1
WWed Sep 16vs Osasuna4–0
WSun Sep 13at Real Sociedad3–0

More clubs in La Liga

BarcelonaReal MadridReal BetisReal SociedadVillarrealSevillaAthletic ClubCelta VigoAlavesRayo VallecanoDeportivo La CorunaLevanteFull La Liga forecast
Track Atletico Madrid with Club Watch →

Open the free interactive Atletico Madrid dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.