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CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026 forecastfull forecast

updated 2026-09-11

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Tue Sep 15Platense vs Fluminense25.7% W · 24.8% D · 49.5% L
Wed Sep 16Liga de Quito vs Palmeiras22.6% W · 23.9% D · 53.5% L
Thu Sep 17Corinthians vs Estudiantes de La Plata43.3% W · 25.8% D · 31% L
Fri Sep 18Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle51.3% W · 24.4% D · 24.3% L
Wed Oct 14TBD Home vs TBD Away40.5% W · 26% D · 33.5% L
Wed Oct 14TBD Home vs TBD Away40.5% W · 26% D · 33.5% L
Wed Oct 21TBD Home vs TBD Away40.5% W · 26% D · 33.5% L
Wed Oct 21TBD Home vs TBD Away40.5% W · 26% D · 33.5% L

Competition rules

Three qualifying stages each February decide the last six group-stage places; those rounds are not modeled below (the projection starts at the group stage) · 32 clubs are drawn into 8 groups of 4 and play everyone in their group home and away · the top 2 of each group reach the round of 16, while the eight third-placed clubs transfer into the Copa Sudamericana's knockout play-off round · from the round of 16 the competition is two-legged single elimination until a one-off final at a pre-selected neutral venue · projections-only: there is no continental probabilities source, so no difference figures are shown.

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

Always ReadyAtlético JuniorBarcelona SCBoca JuniorsBolívarCerro Porteño

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive CONMEBOL Libertadores dashboard →

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