CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026 forecastfull forecast
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
A first qualifying stage each March decides part of the group-stage field and is not modeled below · 32 clubs are drawn into 8 groups of 4 and play everyone in their group home and away · the 8 group winners go straight to the round of 16; in the real competition the 8 runners-up first play a knockout play-off against the third-placed clubs dropping out of the Copa Libertadores — that cross-competition inflow cannot be represented inside this competition's field, so runners-up are advanced directly and their probabilities are correspondingly optimistic · two-legged single elimination from the round of 16 to a one-off neutral final · projections-only: no continental probabilities source.
Follow a club through the season
Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive CONMEBOL Sudamericana dashboard →