Entenser

UEFA Champions League 2026-27 forecastfull forecast

updated 2026-09-11

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Tue Oct 13Lens vs Sporting CP22.7% W · 22.9% D · 54.4% L
Tue Oct 13Sabah FK vs Slavia Prague32.4% W · 24.9% D · 42.7% L
Tue Oct 13Arsenal vs Lille74.8% W · 15.5% D · 9.7% L
Tue Oct 13Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United32.4% W · 24.9% D · 42.8% L
Tue Oct 13Galatasaray vs Barcelona42.1% W · 24.9% D · 33% L
Tue Oct 13Internazionale vs Club Brugge54.7% W · 22.8% D · 22.5% L
Tue Oct 13RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven28.5% W · 24.3% D · 47.2% L
Tue Oct 13Viking FK vs Bayern Munich27.1% W · 24.1% D · 48.8% L

Competition rules

Champions Path (domestic champions from lower-ranked leagues) and League Path (non-champions from the top leagues) run separate qualifying rounds each summer; Champions League qualifying losers drop into Europa League qualifying, whose losers in turn drop into Conference League qualifying · qualifying winners plus the highest-coefficient automatic entrants form the 36-team league phase modeled below: a single seeded table where each club is drawn into 4 pots of 9 and plays 8 opponents (2 from each pot, split home/away) · top 8 advance straight to the Round of 16, 9th-24th enter a two-legged knockout play-off for the remaining 8 spots, bottom 12 are eliminated · Round of 16 onward is single-elimination, two legs until a one-off final.

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

AEK AthensAS RomaArsenalAston VillaAtlético MadridBarcelona

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive UEFA Champions League dashboard →

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