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Lyon forecastfull forecast

Ligue 1 · 2026 · updated 2026-10-21

Lyon are projected to finish 4 in Ligue 1 with 61.1 points. The current model outlook is 14.4% title, 64.6% ucl, 10.2% europa. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

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Current
14 pts
7 matches
Expected finish
#4
of 18
Projected points
61.1
2026
Global ELO
1523
cross-league strength
Title
14.4%
season probability
UCL
64.6%
season probability
Europa
10.2%
season probability
Conf
8.2%
season probability
Releg
0%
season probability

Global ELO puts Lyon on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sun Oct 25at Paris Saint Germain23.2% W · 25.7% D · 51% L
Sat Oct 31vs Angers72.8% W · 17.9% D · 9.4% L
Sat Nov 7at Brest45.8% W · 25.9% D · 28.3% L
Sat Nov 21at Lille31.3% W · 32% D · 36.7% L
Sat Nov 28vs Monaco45.7% W · 26.8% D · 27.5% L

Recent results

WSun Oct 18vs Nice2–1
LFri Oct 9at Lens1–2
WSat Sep 19vs Rennes4–0
DSat Sep 12at Paris FC0–0
WFri Sep 4vs Auxerre3–1

More clubs in Ligue 1

Paris Saint GermainMonacoLilleParis FCLensRennesMarseilleToulouseLorientStrasbourgBrestAuxerreFull Ligue 1 forecast
Track Lyon with Club Watch →

Open the free interactive Lyon dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.