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Monaco forecastfull forecast

Ligue 1 · 2026 · updated 2026-10-21

Monaco are projected to finish 4.7 in Ligue 1 with 59.7 points. The current model outlook is 8.9% title, 54.5% ucl, 11.6% europa. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

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Current
14 pts
7 matches
Expected finish
#4.7
of 18
Projected points
59.7
2026
Global ELO
1538
cross-league strength
Title
8.9%
season probability
UCL
54.5%
season probability
Europa
11.6%
season probability
Conf
10.2%
season probability
Releg
0%
season probability

Global ELO puts Monaco on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sun Oct 25vs Lille38% W · 30.9% D · 31.1% L
Sat Oct 31at Paris FC32.6% W · 27.2% D · 40.2% L
Sat Nov 7at Le Mans52.1% W · 23% D · 24.9% L
Sat Nov 21vs Auxerre60.1% W · 21.8% D · 18.1% L
Sat Nov 28at Lyon27.5% W · 26.8% D · 45.7% L

Recent results

LSun Oct 18at Lorient0–1
DSat Oct 10vs Toulouse2–2
WFri Sep 18vs Lens2–1
DSat Sep 12at Strasbourg1–1
WFri Sep 4at Paris Saint Germain2–1

More clubs in Ligue 1

Paris Saint GermainLyonLilleParis FCLensRennesMarseilleToulouseLorientStrasbourgBrestAuxerreFull Ligue 1 forecast
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Open the free interactive Monaco dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.