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Toulouse forecastfull forecast

Ligue 1 · 2026 · updated 2026-10-21

Toulouse are projected to finish 9 in Ligue 1 with 49.2 points. The current model outlook is <1% title, 9.5% ucl, 5.9% europa. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Track Toulouse with Club Watch →

Current
9 pts
7 matches
Expected finish
#9
of 18
Projected points
49.2
2026
Global ELO
1401
cross-league strength
Title
<1%
season probability
UCL
9.5%
season probability
Europa
5.9%
season probability
Conf
7.4%
season probability
Releg
<1%
season probability

Global ELO puts Toulouse on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Oct 24vs Troyes78.5% W · 14.5% D · 7% L
Sat Oct 31at Marseille27.6% W · 23.5% D · 48.9% L
Sat Nov 7vs Strasbourg47.3% W · 22.7% D · 30% L
Sat Nov 21at Lens24.5% W · 22.9% D · 52.7% L
Sat Nov 28vs Rennes42.9% W · 22.7% D · 34.4% L

Recent results

WFri Oct 16at Le Mans3–0
DSat Oct 10at Monaco2–2
WSat Sep 19vs Le Havre3–2
DSat Sep 12at Lorient2–2
LThu Sep 3vs Lille0–1

More clubs in Ligue 1

Paris Saint GermainLyonMonacoLilleParis FCLensRennesMarseilleLorientStrasbourgBrestAuxerreFull Ligue 1 forecast
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Open the free interactive Toulouse dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.