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New York City FC forecastfull forecast

MLS · 2026 · updated 2026-09-11

New York City FC are projected to finish 9 in the East in MLS with 43.4 points. The current model outlook is 70.4% playoff, 0% shield, 1.3% mls cup. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

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Current
29 pts
24 matches
Expected finish
#9
of 15 · East
Projected points
43.4
2026
Global ELO
947
cross-league strength
Playoff
70.4%
season probability
Shield
0%
season probability
MLS Cup
1.3%
season probability

Global ELO puts New York City FC on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12at Real Salt Lake · America First Field34.5% W · 29.8% D · 35.7% L
Fri Sep 18vs New York Red Bulls · Yankee Stadium49.6% W · 28.3% D · 22.1% L
Sat Sep 26at Atlanta United FC · Mercedes-Benz Stadium38.6% W · 30.4% D · 31% L
Sat Oct 10at Chicago Fire FC · Soldier Field29.6% W · 28.5% D · 41.9% L
Wed Oct 14at Inter Miami CF · Nu Stadium26.3% W · 25.6% D · 48.1% L

Recent results

LThu Sep 10vs New England Revolution1–2
DFri Sep 4vs Nashville SC0–0
DSat Aug 29at Toronto FC1–1
DSun Aug 23at New England Revolution1–1
LWed Aug 19at FC Cincinnati1–2

More clubs in MLS

Nashville SCVancouver Whitecaps FCInter Miami CFHouston Dynamo FCFC DallasLos Angeles FCNew England RevolutionCharlotte FCChicago Fire FCSan Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City SCColorado RapidsFull MLS forecast
Track New York City FC with Club Watch →

Open the free interactive New York City FC dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.