Toronto FC forecastfull forecast

Name: Toronto FC MLS forecast
Creator: Entenser

MLS · 2026 · updated 2026-09-11

Toronto FC are projected to finish 10 in the East in MLS with 42.5 points. The current model outlook is 59.4% playoff, 0% shield, <1% mls cup. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Track Toronto FC with Club Watch →

Current

29 pts

24 matches

Expected finish

#10

of 15 · East

Projected points

42.5

2026

Global ELO

938

cross-league strength

Playoff

59.4%

season probability

Shield

season probability

MLS Cup

<1%

season probability

Global ELO puts Toronto FC on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12at Orlando City SC · Inter&Co Stadium32.9% W · 26.4% D · 40.7% L

Sat Sep 19at St. Louis City SC · Energizer Park27.9% W · 27.2% D · 44.9% L

Sat Sep 26at Nashville SC · GEODIS Park20.3% W · 27.1% D · 52.7% L

Sat Oct 10vs CF Montréal · BMO Field51% W · 26.4% D · 22.6% L

Wed Oct 14vs Orlando City SC · BMO Field44.1% W · 26% D · 29.9% L

Recent results

WWed Sep 9vs Nashville SC2–1

DSat Sep 5vs Chicago Fire FC4–4

DSat Aug 29vs New York City FC1–1

WSat Aug 22at Inter Miami CF2–1

DWed Aug 19vs Charlotte FC3–3

More clubs in MLS

Nashville SC Vancouver Whitecaps FC Inter Miami CF Houston Dynamo FC FC Dallas Los Angeles FC New England Revolution Charlotte FC Chicago Fire FC San Jose Earthquakes St. Louis City SC Colorado Rapids Full MLS forecast

Track Toronto FC with Club Watch →

Open the free interactive Toronto FC dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.