Toronto FC forecastfull forecast

Name: Toronto FC MLS forecast
Creator: Entenser

MLS · 2026 · updated 2026-09-15

Toronto FC are projected to finish 10 in the East in MLS with 40.7 points. The current model outlook is 28.3% playoff, 0% shield, <1% mls cup. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Track Toronto FC with Club Watch →

Current

29 pts

25 matches

Expected finish

#10

of 15 · East

Projected points

40.7

2026

Global ELO

928

cross-league strength

Playoff

28.3%

season probability

Shield

season probability

MLS Cup

<1%

season probability

Global ELO puts Toronto FC on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Oct 24at Columbus Crew · ScottsMiracle-Gro Field32.6% W · 28.1% D · 39.2% L

Wed Oct 28vs D.C. United · BMO Field44.6% W · 28.4% D · 26.9% L

Sun Nov 1at Atlanta United FC · Mercedes-Benz Stadium35.4% W · 29.4% D · 35.2% L

Sat Nov 7at Philadelphia Union · Subaru Park22.3% W · 25.1% D · 52.6% L

Recent results

LSat Sep 12at Orlando City SC0–3

WWed Sep 9vs Nashville SC2–1

DSat Sep 5vs Chicago Fire FC4–4

DSat Aug 29vs New York City FC1–1

WSat Aug 22at Inter Miami CF2–1

More clubs in MLS

Nashville SC Vancouver Whitecaps FC Inter Miami CF FC Dallas Houston Dynamo FC New England Revolution San Jose Earthquakes St. Louis City SC Charlotte FC Los Angeles FC Chicago Fire FC Colorado Rapids Full MLS forecast

Track Toronto FC with Club Watch →

Open the free interactive Toronto FC dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.