Entenser

Chinese Super League 2026 forecastfull forecast

85% of the season played · updated 2026-09-11
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Relegation
97.1%
Relegation
61.6%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjChampContinentalReleg
1Chengdu Rongcheng5258.499%>99%0%
2Beijing Guoan4350.5<1%86%0%
3Shandong Taishan4349.1<1%57.7%0%
4Shanghai Shenhua4147.50%37.9%0%
5Shanghai Port3844.20%5.9%0%
6Dalian Yingbo4044.90%5.5%0%
7Yunnan Yukun3843.90%4.2%0%
8Qingdao West Coast3843.10%2.5%0%
9Zhejiang Professional FC3340.50%<1%0%
10Tianjin Jinmen Tiger3238.80%0%<1%
11Henan3238.20%0%<1%
12Chongqing Tonglianglong3135.40%0%1.4%
13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng2832.90%0%15.5%
14Wuhan Three Towns2532.50%0%24.1%
15Liaoning Tieren2530.40%0%61.6%
16Qingdao Hainiu2125.80%0%97.1%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Liaoning Tieren57.4% W · 24.2% D · 18.5% L
Sat Sep 12Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan42.3% W · 26.4% D · 31.3% L
Fri Sep 18Zhejiang Professional FC vs Wuhan Three Towns54.2% W · 21.4% D · 24.4% L
Fri Oct 9Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Henan36.5% W · 28.9% D · 34.7% L
Fri Oct 9Zhejiang Professional FC vs Shanghai Port38.8% W · 25.3% D · 35.9% L
Sat Oct 10Chengdu Rongcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger51.4% W · 27.3% D · 21.3% L
Sat Oct 10Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun55.8% W · 18.2% D · 26% L
Sat Oct 10Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan19.2% W · 21.8% D · 59% L

Competition rules

Champion + next 2 reach AFC club competitions (approximate) · bottom 2 relegated · calendar-year season

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

Chengdu RongchengBeijing GuoanShandong TaishanShanghai ShenhuaDalian YingboShanghai Port

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Chinese Super League dashboard →

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