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Chinese Super League 2026 forecastlive

66% of the season played · updated 2026-07-28
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Relegation
70%
Relegation
59.8%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjChampContinentalReleg
1Chengdu Rongcheng4462.799.8%>99%0%
2Shanghai Shenhua2944.6<1%39.3%<1%
3Beijing Guoan2844.30%37.4%<1%
4Shandong Taishan3044.6<1%34.1%0%
5Chongqing Tonglianglong2942.50%19.1%<1%
6Henan2741.70%14.4%<1%
7Yunnan Yukun2841.60%14.5%<1%
8Zhejiang Professional FC2941.40%11.3%<1%
9Shanghai Port2440.60%10%1.2%
10Qingdao West Coast2840.90%9%<1%
11Dalian Yingbo2839.90%5.5%1.3%
12Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2439.00%5.2%2.1%
13Liaoning Tieren2133.20%<1%29.1%
14Qingdao Hainiu2133.00%<1%33.8%
15Shenzhen Xinpengcheng2030.90%0%59.8%
16Wuhan Three Towns1929.40%0%70%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Fri Jul 31Henan vs Dalian Yingbo55.9% W · 23.3% D · 20.9% L
Sat Aug 1Shanghai Port vs Shandong Taishan56.4% W · 20.1% D · 23.5% L
Sat Aug 1Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns72.9% W · 16.6% D · 10.5% L
Sat Aug 1Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang Professional FC60% W · 19.4% D · 20.5% L
Sat Aug 1Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Yunnan Yukun54% W · 22.5% D · 23.5% L
Sun Aug 2Qingdao West Coast vs Qingdao Hainiu50.3% W · 24.3% D · 25.4% L
Sun Aug 2Liaoning Tieren vs Shanghai Shenhua35.2% W · 23.5% D · 41.3% L
Sun Aug 2Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong35.7% W · 29.1% D · 35.2% L

Competition rules

Champion + next 2 reach AFC club competitions (approximate) · bottom 2 relegated · calendar-year season

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Chinese Super League dashboard →

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